iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF

TLT tracks a market-weighted index of debt issued by the US Treasury with remaining maturities of 20 years or more.

Instead of falling after the Fed lowered rates, the 10-year and 20+ year yields have risen.  This seems incongruous given the dovish Fed talk.

Treasury Bonds Update: What's Next For TLT?

Long-term bond yields have been rising since the Fed cut, led by rising inflation expectations. If the market senses that the Fed is allowing higher inflation to protect full employment, the yields could spike higher as inflation expectations de-anchor.

The Bond Yields Could Rise And Sink The Economy - The Fed Is Playing With Fire

iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF

iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF

The yield on the 10-year note ended September 20, 2024 at 3.73%, the 2-year note ended at 3.55%, and the 30-year at 4.07%. Here is a table showing the yields' highs and lows and the FFR since 2007.

Treasury Yields Snapshot: September 20, 2024

Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF

Capital Group Dividend Value ETF

Dimensional Short-Duration Fixed Income ETF

WisdomTree India Earnings Fund

Franklin FTSE India ETF

SPDR Gold Trust

SPDR Gold MiniShares Trust

iShares Gold Trust

iShares MSCI India ETF

PIMCO Enhanced Short Maturity Active ETF

VanEck Merk Gold Trust

Global X U.S. Infrastructure Development ETF

VanEck Vectors Pharmaceutical ETF

Schwab US Dividend Equity ETF

Vanguard Long-Term Treasury ETF

BondBloxx USD High Yield Bond Consumer Non-Cyclicals Sector ETF

Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR Fund

Blurring the lines between conference and festival, this year's Future Proof brought thousands of attendees to the summery shores of Huntington Beach in Los Angeles.

DoubleLine's Jeff Gundlach on the Fed, Gold and Private Credit

The US national debt is rapidly increasing, exposing long-dated government bonds to significant inflation risk, making iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF very risky. Rate cuts by the Fed mostly affect short-term rates, while long-term yields are driven by inflation expectations, which are rising. The Fed is increasingly the primary buyer of long-dated US debt, as organic demand dwindles, pushing long-term yields higher.

TLT: What Is There To Like When The USA Is $35 Trillion In Debt?

With a recession unlikely, at least for now, the floor is likely in.

Why Fed Rate Cuts Are Bad News for Treasury Bonds

Avantis U.S. Small Cap Value ETF

Vanguard Long-Term Bond ETF

Franklin Responsibly Sourced Gold ETF

Fidelity Real Estate Investment ETF

VictoryShares Small Cap Free Cash Flow ETF

Real Estate Select Sector SPDR Fund

The Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 0.50% today as it continues to aim for a soft-landing scenario. The interest rate cut is the first in the Fed's historic fight against inflation that's lasted over two years.

Fed Takes Aggressive Rate Cut Approach: Now What?

Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund

A 50 bps Fed rate cut could be detrimental to stocks, especially technology stocks, as it may drive lower P/E multiples and prompt a rotation into bonds. The inverse relationship between technology stocks and the yield curve suggests that as the yield curve steepens, technology stocks tend to decline.

XLK And TLT: 50 BPS Fed Rate Cut Would Be Horrible For Stocks, Great For Bonds

iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF

ARK 21Shares Bitcoin ETF

Blackrock Flexible Income ETF

Bitwise Bitcoin ETP Trust

Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF

Blackrock US Equity Factor Rotation ETF

Ishares Ethereum Trust

Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund

iShares Bitcoin Trust

iShares Core S&P 500 ETF

Janus Henderson AAA CLO ETF

JPMorgan Nasdaq Equity Premium Income ETF

iShares 0-3 Month Treasury Bond ETF

SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 ETF

Vanguard S&P 500 ETF

Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF

Approximately 150 U.S.-listed ETFs gathered more than $1 billion in the first eight months of 2024. As I looked through the leaderboard, a few key themes jumped out.

Active, Crypto & Core ETFs, Oh My

iShares U.S. Treasury Bond ETF

Schwab Short-Term US Treasury ETF

iShares 10-20 Year Treasury Bond ETF

Expectations of Fed rate cuts have been rising lately due to continued signs of cooling inflation.

ETF Strategies to Follow Amid Likely Fed Rate Cut

JPMorgan BetaBuilders Europe ETF

SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF

Xtrackers MSCI Europe Hedged Equity ETF

Xtrackers MSCI Eurozone Hedged Equity ETF

WisdomTree Europe SmallCap Dividend Fund

Vanguard Extended Duration Treasury ETF

BlackRock Enhanced Government Fund

WisdomTree Europe Quality Dividend Growth Fund

ProShares MSCI Europe Dividend Growers ETF

Direxion Daily FTSE Europe Bull 3X Shares

WisdomTree Europe Hedged SmallCap Equity Fund

iShares MSCI Eurozone ETF

First Trust STOXX European Select Dividend Index Fund

First Trust Europe AlphaDEX Fund

First Trust Eurozone AlphaDEX ETF

SPDR EURO STOXX 50 ETF

iShares U.S. Fixed Income Balanced Risk Factor ETF

Franklin FTSE Europe ETF

Franklin FTSE Eurozone ETF

First Trust IPOX Europe Equity Opportunities ETF

Goldman Sachs TreasuryAccess 0-1 Year ETF

iShares 25+ Year Treasury STRIPS Bond ETF

Goldman Sachs ActiveBeta Europe Equity ETF

Invesco Ultra Short Duration ETF

WisdomTree Europe Hedged Equity Fund

iShares Currency Hedged MSCI Eurozone ETF

iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond ETF

iShares Core MSCI Europe ETF

iShares MSCI Europe Small-Cap ETF

iShares Europe ETF

First Trust Long Duration Opportunities ETF

ALPS O'Shares Europe Quality Dividend ETF Shares

ProShares UltraShort 7-10 Year Treasury

Pacer Trendpilot European Index ETF

First Trust RiverFront Dynamic Europe ETF

Schwab Long-Term US Treasury ETF

Schwab Intermediate-Term US Treasury ETF

iShares Short Treasury Bond ETF

SPDR Portfolio Europe ETF

SPDR Portfolio Long Term Treasury ETF

SPDR Portfolio Short Term Treasury ETF

Proshares Short 20+ Year Treasury

ProShares UltraShort 20+ Year Treasury

ProShares Short 7-10 Year Treasury

Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares

Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bear 3X Shares

ProShares UltraPro Short 20+ Year Treasury

Direxion Daily 7-10 Year Treasury Bull 3x Shares

Direxion Daily 7-10 Year Treasury Bear 3x Shares

ProShares Ultra 20+ Year Treasury

ProShares Ultra 7-10 Year Treasury

US Treasury 2 Year Note ETF

Vanguard Intermediate-Term Treasury ETF

Vanguard FTSE Europe ETF

Vanguard Short-Term Treasury ETF

PIMCO 25+ Year Zero Coupon US Treasury Index ETF

The ECB cut rates by 25bp as widely anticipated, but a slightly hawkish tilt bear flattened the EUR curve, which in our view remains priced aggressively. In the US, as the markets head towards the Fed's first rate cut, the probability of a larger cut rose slightly on Thursday.

Rates Spark: ECB Presser Bear-Flattened The Curve

The latest inflation data signals confirmed bets that the Fed will cut rates next week, pushing Treasury ETFs to new highs.

Here's Why Treasury ETFs Are Scaling New Highs

iShares 10+ Year Investment Grade Corporate Bond ETF

iShares Core S&P Small Cap ETF

Global X U.S. Preferred ETF

VanEck Preferred Securities ex Financials ETF

Invesco QQQ

Aberdeen Standard Gold ETF Trust

 SPDR Blackstone Senior Loan ETF

Vanguard Small-Cap ETF

Vanguard Long-Term Corporate Bond ETF

Vanguard Real Estate ETF

Vanguard Russell 2000 ETF

Utilities Select Sector SPDR Fund

Invesco S&P SmallCap Momentum ETF

The first cut is the deepest — so they say. As with all complicated relationships, this mantra may certainly ring true for the Federal Reserve and the markets — at least from a psychological standpoint.

Positioning Ahead of the Fed: ETFs for a Lower Rate Era

The current environment for treasury bonds remains favorable for upward trades in the near term, with the biggest consideration being the time frame that an individual trader is working in. We expect to see upward moves lasting a few days and others lasting several weeks.

Treasury Bonds ETF (TLT): Bullish Elliott wave Opportunity on All Time Frames

iShares Russell 2000 ETF

iShares Silver Trust

Investors may be shaken up by the recent volatility in the stock market, and now more than ever, it is important to stick to fundamentals and attempt to understand how and where money will begin to shift in the next quarter or two. Ideally, investors can get on these trends before they take on momentum during the whole market shift, where a few asset classes come to mind.

How the Fed's Rate Cuts Could Boost Bonds, Silver, and Small Caps

TLT just broke out, reaching a higher high for 2024, driven by anticipated rate cuts and lower inflation, and should be expected to trend higher. Long-term Treasuries offer steady income, high credit ratings, and act as a hedge against equity downturns, especially amid global economic uncertainty. TLT's chart shows a rounded bottoming pattern, indicating strong potential for further gains, particularly with forthcoming rate cuts and potential market weakness.

TLT Broke Out And Should Continue Higher (Technical Analysis)

Historical Fed rate pivots often precede recessions, highlighting deeper economic issues and potential downturns following interest rate cuts. Sharp declines in insider buying and job openings, coupled with rising consumer credit card delinquencies, signal significant economic stress and potential recession risks.

TLT: Positioned For Upside During Fed Rate Cuts And Recession Risks

The yield on the 10-year note ended September 6, 2024 at 3.72%, the 2-year note ended at 3.66%, and the 30-year at 4.03%. Here is a table showing the yields' highs and lows and the FFR since 2007.

Treasury Yields Snapshot: September 6, 2024

Blackrock High Yield ETF

iShares Core Total USD Bond Market ETF

iShares Short Maturity Bond ETF

iShares Broad USD High Yield Corporate Bond ETF

Fixed income ETFs continue to gain traction globally. As of August 2024, the asset category managed $2.5 trillion in assets, with iShares managing $1 trillion alone.

iShares Hits $1 Trillion in Fixed Income ETFs Globally

This article looks at a long-term perspective on Treasury yields. The chart below shows the 10-year constant-maturity yield since 1962 along with the Fed funds rate (FFR) and inflation.

Treasury Yields: A Long-Term Perspective – August 2024

Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF

SP Plus

SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust

The S&P 500 capped off the month of August just below its record high, finishing up 0.24% from last Friday. The index is currently 0.33% off its record close from July 16th, 2024 and is now up 19.09% year-to-date.

S&P 500 Snapshot: August Ends Just Below Record High

BondBloxx Bloomberg Twenty Year Target Duration US Treasury ETF

Treasuries are poised for their longest monthly winning streak in three years on September rate cut bets.

ETFs Soaring on Treasuries' Longest Winning Streak in 3 Years

The S&P 500 ended a choppy week on Wall Street higher, finishing up 1.5% from last Friday. The index is currently 0.58% off its record high from July 16th, 2024 and is now up 18.80% year to date.

S&P 500 Snapshot: Seesaw Week Ends Higher

The yield on the 10-year note ended August 23, 2024 at 3.81%, the 2-year note ended at 3.90%, and the 30-year at 4.10%. Here is a table showing the yields' highs and lows and the FFR since 2007.

Treasury Yields Snapshot: August 23, 2024

Doubleline Opportunistic Bond ETF

iShares iBoxx $ Investment Grade Corporate Bond ETF

Are we going to have a recession? Are we already in a recession?

DoubleLine on Recession, Current Positioning, and U.S. Debt

News for iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF ETF (TLT)