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120th Congress: Who will be the No. 3 Senate Democrat?

Elizabeth Warren31¢31%
Adam Schiff——
Andy Kim——
$2,150 Vol.

Event estimated to resolve on . These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.

About

If Elizabeth Warren wins the election for the No. 3 post in Senate Democratic leadership for the 120th Congress, then the market resolves to Yes. For this indirect election, the winner is the candidate elected to the No. 3 post in Senate Democratic leadership for the 120th Congress by the Senate Democratic Caucus, as certified by that body. A later change in the office does not affect resolution. The No. 3 post is the Senate Democratic leadership post ranked directly below the Democratic Whip, currently Chair of the Steering and Policy Committee. If Senate Democrats rename, replace or reorder their leadership posts, the post ranked directly below the Whip counts. If two or more senators are named to the post jointly, each of their markets will receive 1/N of the Settlement Value, where N is the number of co-holders. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner.

  • Full contract termsView
  • SourceSenate Democrats
  • Est. resolution date
  • Total event volume$2,150.00
  • Timeline

    The market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by .

    1. Event open
    2. Event closed
    3. Projected payout
  • Insider trading is prohibited

    The following are prohibited from trading this contract:

    • Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
    • Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
    • Any candidate currently listed as a market within this event

Trade Yes contracts

ContractVolumePrice1D changeEst. probability
Elizabeth Warren
$2K31¢+6.90%
Adam Schiff
$09.9¢-100.00%
Andy Kim
$011¢-100.00%
Catherine Cortez Masto
$09¢-100.00%
Cory Booker
$034¢-100.00%
Elissa Slotkin
$014¢-100.00%
Mark Warner
$011¢-100.00%
Patty Murray
$08.2¢-100.00%

Trade No contracts

ContractVolumePrice1D changeEst. probability
Elizabeth Warren
$2K73¢-2.82%
Adam Schiff
$098¢+6.38%
Andy Kim
$096.9¢+7.53%
Catherine Cortez Masto
$098¢+6.38%
Cory Booker
$073¢+47.06%
Elissa Slotkin
$091.4¢+13.64%
Mark Warner
$096.9¢+7.53%
Patty Murray
$098¢+5.26%

FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Public shows live market-implied probabilities, contract prices, and trading volume for 120th Congress: Who will be the No. 3 Senate Democrat?. The leading outcome is Elizabeth Warren, with an estimated probability of 31% and a Yes contract price of $0.31. Odds can change as traders buy and sell event contracts.

On Public, you can buy and sell event contracts for 120th Congress: Who will be the No. 3 Senate Democrat? by choosing from the available outcomes. Compare live odds, probabilities, prices, and trading volume before making a trade. You can manage prediction markets alongside stocks, options, bonds, and crypto on Public.

Each event contract represents an outcome for 120th Congress: Who will be the No. 3 Senate Democrat?. On Public, you can take a Yes or No position based on whether you think that outcome will occur. Contract prices reflect market-implied probabilities and can change as the market trades.

The estimated resolution date for 120th Congress: Who will be the No. 3 Senate Democrat? is Dec 1, 2027. The prediction market will resolve according to its contract terms using Senate Democrats as the designated source. See the full contract terms on Public for the specific resolution criteria.

Yes. Public's AI Agents let you automate prediction market strategies using rules you define in plain English. Create an Agent to monitor the odds for 120th Congress: Who will be the No. 3 Senate Democrat? and take supported actions when your conditions are met. Since prediction markets trade 24/7, your Agent can monitor opportunities around the clock. You can also connect Public to your preferred AI model through MCP, including ChatGPT, Claude, Perplexity, Grok, and Muse.

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Related events

120th Congress: Who will be Senate Democratic Whip?
| $15,400.86 Vol.
Brian Schatz
Cory Booker
Catherine Cortez Masto

Live odds on 120th Congress: Who will be the No. 3 Senate Democrat?

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120th Congress: Who will be the No. 3 Senate Democrat?

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Event estimated to resolve on at 10:00AM. These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.


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