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Political events

Explore live odds across political prediction markets on Public. Track probabilities for legislation, appointments, Supreme Court cases, approval ratings, and foreign policy. Buy and sell event contracts based on your political outlook, or use AI Agents to automate politics prediction strategies.

Trade event contracts tied to politics

Take positions on legislation, appointments, court cases, approval ratings, and global affairs on Public. Plus, create AI Agents for your strategies.

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Will the SAVE Act become law?
| $32,205,468.04 Vol.
Before Jan 4, 2027
Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?
| $26,368,461.02 Vol.
Ben Ferguson
Scott Jennings
Anna Kelly
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
$24,191,625.96 Vol.
Before Dec 1, 2027
Before Nov 1, 2027
Before Oct 1, 2027
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?
$20,786,884.82 Vol.
Meghan Bauer
Howard Lutnick
Amy Gleason
Donald Trump announces departure as President? (Excluding death)
$16,848,548.06 Vol.
Before January 20, 2029
Before 2028
Before 2027
Who will officially lead Venezuela at the end of 2026?
| $12,830,309.66 Vol.
Nicolás Maduro
Delcy Rodríguez
Edmundo González
Will the House impeach Trump?
$10,936,877.58 Vol.
Before Jan 1, 2028
Before Oct 1, 2027
Before Aug 1, 2027
Will Trump buy at least part of Greenland?
$10,622,188.90 Vol.
Before January 20, 2029
Before 2027
US-Iran nuclear deal?
$10,132,023.44 Vol.
Before Jan 20, 2029
Before Jan 1, 2028
Before Oct 1, 2027
Will the Clarity Act become law?
$8,655,341.04 Vol.
Before Jan 1, 2028
Before Oct 1, 2027
Before Jul 1, 2027
Which leaders will leave office in 2026?
$8,319,991.06 Vol.
Benjamin Netanyahu
Pedro Sánchez
Edi Rama
Will the US take control of any part of Greenland?
$7,110,742.46 Vol.
Before January 21, 2029
Before 2027
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?
$6,710,246.98 Vol.
Before Jul 1, 2027
Before Apr 1, 2027
Before Feb 1, 2027
Will Reza Pahlavi visit Iran in 2026?
| $4,492,192.12 Vol.
Yes
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
| $4,110,171.68 Vol.
Reza Pahlavi
What will be the 51st state in Trump's term?
| $4,018,115.92 Vol.
Cuba
Puerto Rico
Venezuela
Will the SAVE America Act become law?
$3,671,185.24 Vol.
Before Jan 1, 2028
Before Jul 1, 2027
Before Dec 1, 2026
How much will the US acquire Greenland for?
| $3,606,812.18 Vol.
$0 / No Acquisition
$300 billion to $599 billion
$1 billion to $9 billion

Showing 18 of 128 events.

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Trading event contracts involves significant risk and is not appropriate for all investors. Before investing, please read our Event Contracts Risk Disclosure and carefully consider your financial situation, investment objectives, and risk tolerance. Live data is for informational purposes only and may be delayed or incorrect. Timestamps are in UTC.


Event contracts offered by Open to the Public Investing, Inc. and Apex Clearing Corp. through KalshiEX LLC.

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