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Political events

Explore live odds across political prediction markets on Public. Track probabilities for legislation, appointments, Supreme Court cases, approval ratings, and foreign policy. Buy and sell event contracts based on your political outlook, or use AI Agents to automate politics prediction strategies.

Trade event contracts tied to politics

Take positions on legislation, appointments, court cases, approval ratings, and global affairs on Public. Plus, create AI Agents for your strategies.

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Will Section IV of the 25th Amendment be used during Trump's Presidency?
$511,524.30 Vol.
Before Jan 20, 2029
Before Jan 1, 2028
Before Jan 1, 2027
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran?
$498,627.40 Vol.
Before 2028
Before 2027
Who will be nominated as a Fed Governor in 2026?
| $492,611.40 Vol.
James Bullard
Kevin Hassett
Stephen Miran
Government shutdown on Dec 12, 2026?
| $488,882.76 Vol.
Yes
Kash Patel out as FBI Director?
$486,963.22 Vol.
Before Oct 1, 2027
Before Jul 1, 2027
Before Apr 1, 2027
What countries will Pope Leo visit in 2026?
$467,528.24 Vol.
Philippines
Jordan
Mexico
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement?
$462,733.10 Vol.
Before Jan 1, 2028
Before Oct 1, 2027
Before Jul 1, 2027
How high will average weekly Hormuz traffic get in 2026?
| $457,531.66 Vol.
Above 40
Above 30
Above 50
Will the federal gas tax be suspended?
| $452,731.96 Vol.
Before Jan 1, 2027
How many Supreme Court justices will the President confirm?
| $453,745.90 Vol.
0
2
1
Which agencies will be eliminated?
| $406,011.68 Vol.
IRS
USAID
EPA
Will Trump create a National Bitcoin Reserve in 2026?
| $401,740.18 Vol.
Before Jan 1, 2027
Who will switch or leave their party in 2026?
$400,064.44 Vol.
Haley Stevens
Lisa Murkowski
John Fetterman
How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
| $388,047.58 Vol.
Above 66
Above 60
Above 62
Will a cabinet member be impeached?
$382,949.28 Vol.
Before Jul 1, 2027
Before Jan 1, 2028
Before Apr 1, 2027
Will Trump issue dividend payments?
$364,935.46 Vol.
Before Apr 1, 2027
Before Jan 1, 2027
How high will Trump's approval rating get before 2027?
| $362,027.16 Vol.
Above 49%
Above 43%
Above 47%
Will members of Congress be banned from trading stocks?
$361,338.66 Vol.
Before Jan 21, 2029
Before Jan 1, 2028
Before Jul 1, 2027

Showing 18 of 128 events.

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Trading event contracts involves significant risk and is not appropriate for all investors. Before investing, please read our Event Contracts Risk Disclosure and carefully consider your financial situation, investment objectives, and risk tolerance. Live data is for informational purposes only and may be delayed or incorrect. Timestamps are in UTC.


Event contracts offered by Open to the Public Investing, Inc. and Apex Clearing Corp. through KalshiEX LLC.

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Stocks, ETFs, Options, Bonds.
Self-directed brokerage accounts and brokerage services for US-listed, registered securities, options, and Bonds, except for treasury securities offered through Jiko Securities, Inc., are offered to self-directed customers by Open to the Public Investing, Inc. (“Public Investing”), a registered broker-dealer and member of FINRA & SIPC. Additional information about your broker can be found by clicking here. Public Investing is a wholly-owned subsidiary of Public Holdings, Inc. (“Public Holdings”). This is not an offer, solicitation of an offer, or advice to buy or sell securities or open a brokerage account in any jurisdiction where Public Investing is not registered. Securities products offered by Public Investing are not FDIC insured. Apex Clearing Corporation, our clearing firm, has additional insurance coverage in excess of the regular SIPC limits. Additional information can be found here.

Options.
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Treasury Accounts.
Investing services in treasury accounts offering 6 month US Treasury Bills on the Public platform are through Jiko Securities, Inc. (“JSI”), a registered broker-dealer and member of FINRA & SIPC. See JSI’s FINRA BrokerCheck and Form CRS for further information. JSI uses funds from your Treasury Account to purchase T-bills in increments of $100 “par value” (the T-bill’s value at maturity). T-bills are purchased at a discount to the par value and the T-bill’s yield represents the difference in price between the “par value” and the “discount price.” Aggregate funds in your Treasury Account in excess of the T-bill purchases will remain in your Treasury Account as cash. The value of T-bills fluctuate and investors may receive more or less than their original investments if sold prior to maturity. T-bills are subject to price change and availability - yield is subject to change. Past performance is not indicative of future performance. Investments in T-bills involve a variety of risks, including credit risk, interest rate risk, and liquidity risk. As a general rule, the price of a T-bills moves inversely to changes in interest rates. Although T-bills are considered safer than many other financial instruments, you could lose all or a part of your investment. See Jiko U.S. Treasuries Risk Disclosures for further details.

Investments in T-bills: Not FDIC Insured; No Bank Guarantee; May Lose Value.

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