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Political events

Explore live odds across political prediction markets on Public. Track probabilities for legislation, appointments, Supreme Court cases, approval ratings, and foreign policy. Buy and sell event contracts based on your political outlook, or use AI Agents to automate politics prediction strategies.

Trade event contracts tied to politics

Take positions on legislation, appointments, court cases, approval ratings, and global affairs on Public. Plus, create AI Agents for your strategies.

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Will Trump expand the H-1B program?
| $248,073.44 Vol.
Before Jan 20, 2029
How many Executive Orders will Trump sign this week? (11/1 - 11/7)
| $247,064.74 Vol.
Above 2
Above 4
Above 0
Which states will Trump visit in 2026?
$152,223.20 Vol.
Rhode Island
Louisiana
Colorado
Who will be named in Epstein files released in 2026?
| $303,279.48 Vol.
Donald Trump
Ehud Barak
Bill Clinton
Traffic through the Panama Canal? (11/9 - 11/15)
| $228,852.10 Vol.
Above 195
Above 200
Above 205
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/9 - 11/15)
| $225,303.84 Vol.
Above 5
Above 6
Above 7
Will John Fetterman leave the Democratic party?
$223,060.60 Vol.
Before Jan 1, 2028
Before Aug 1, 2027
Before Apr 1, 2027
Will Mamdani raise corporate taxes?
$222,452.10 Vol.
Before 2029
Before 2030
Before 2028
Will the Supreme Court overturn gay marriage?
| $212,733.86 Vol.
Before 2029
Who will visit the White House in 2026?
$224,782.30 Vol.
Hakeem Jeffries
Mark Carney
Abdel Fattah al-Sisi
Will Mamdani tax billion-dollar incomes in 2026?
| $201,258.10 Vol.
Yes
Who will recognize Palestine before 2027?
| $203,592.82 Vol.
Italy
Austria
Germany
How many days will U.S. cattle imports from Sonora be suspended?
| $200,065.04 Vol.
90 days or more
120 days or more
30 days or more
Will Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations during Trump's term?
| $197,393.04 Vol.
During Trump's term
How many Executive Orders will Trump sign this week? (10/25 - 10/31)
| $189,623.48 Vol.
Above 1
Above 0
Above 2
What countries will Marco Rubio visit in 2026?
$190,810.84 Vol.
Switzerland
Qatar
Oman
Will Israel and Qatar normalize relations before 2027?
| $185,089.58 Vol.
Before Jan 1, 2027
How many billionaires will New York City lose this year?
| $181,595.76 Vol.
At least 1
At least 2
At least 3

Showing 18 of 128 events.

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Trading event contracts involves significant risk and is not appropriate for all investors. Before investing, please read our Event Contracts Risk Disclosure and carefully consider your financial situation, investment objectives, and risk tolerance. Live data is for informational purposes only and may be delayed or incorrect. Timestamps are in UTC.


Event contracts offered by Open to the Public Investing, Inc. and Apex Clearing Corp. through KalshiEX LLC.

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Options.
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