Blue tsunami in 2026?

If ALL of the following occur: Democrats hold 235 or more seats in the House after the 2026 midterms AND Democrats hold 51 or more seats in the Senate after the 2026 midterms, then the market resolves to Yes. This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: "Will Democrats hold 235 or more seats in the House?" uses SEATSCONGRESS, "Will Democrats hold 51 or more seats in the Senate?" uses SEATSCONGRESS. For economic data releases, resolution uses the first officially released value (not preliminary or revised estimates unless specified). All conditions must be satisfied within the specified time period. This market will resolve based on the composition of the U.S. House of Representatives and the Senate on February 1, 2027. Individuals caucusing with either party will be included with them (e.g. an Independent who caucuses with a party, like Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders who caucuses with the Democrats, would be counted as a Democrat). Clarification (11/12/26): Kalshi has filed an amendment that lets each seat-count leg of this combination event settle before February 1, 2027 once the election results have decided it. The combination settles Yes once every leg has settled Yes, or No as soon as any leg settles No. Starting November 26, 2026, each leg will be checked every day at 10:00 AM ET against Associated Press race calls, with a buffer for changes after the election (5 seats off the floor in the House, 1 in the Senate, and 1 seat added to the ceiling). If the composition of Congress on February 1, 2027 would have paid an early-settled market the other way, Kalshi will credit $1.00 per contract for positions held on that side at 7:00 AM ET on November 12, 2026. Contracts bought after that time are not covered. For example, as of November 11, 2026, the Associated Press has declared Democrats the winner of 254 House seats, with 13 seats undeclared. That gives Democrats a floor of 254 (seats declared) and a ceiling of 267 (254 plus the 13 undeclared), or 249 and 268 after the buffers. In KXDHOUSESEATS-27, every range from "Below 210" through "242-245" lies entirely below both values, so those markets would expire and settle No; "246-249" and "Above 249" each contain one of the two values, so they continue to trade and are checked again the next morning.