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Celebrity beauty TikTok Shop array index in November

Above 260——
Above 270——
Above 280——
$0 Vol.

Event estimated to resolve on . These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.

About

If the Carbon Arc Celebrity beauty TikTok Shop array index (November 2026) for November 2026 is above 260 index points, then the market resolves to Yes. For purposes of this market, determination will resolve on Carbon Arc's published full-month Celebrity Beauty TikTok Shop Volume Array level for the month covered by this market, as recorded by Kalshi at 11:59 p.m. ET on the 5th calendar day after the end of that month. For example, the value for November is recorded at 11:59 p.m. ET on December 5. Later corrections or revisions will not affect the recorded value. Month-to-date readings do not determine the full-month outcome. Reference: https://www.carbonarc.ai/prisms?prism=8075e79d-8b52-4854-b5f4-b7f6c9b0d64c&entity=Celebrity+Beauty+TikTok+Shop+Volume Tracks Carbon Arc's published monthly Celebrity Beauty TikTok Shop Volume Array: the equally weighted arithmetic mean of Fenty Beauty, Rhode, Haus Labs, Rare Beauty and r.e.m. beauty TikTok Shop revenue growth indices, with 20% weight per brand. It measures average constituent growth, not combined dollar revenue or revenue share. An index of 100 means unchanged year over year; 103 means 3% growth and 97 means a 3% decline. Carbon Arc uses a sample of activity rather than every transaction. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying companies. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

  • Full contract termsView
  • SourceCarbon Arc - Celebrity Beauty TikTok Shop Volume Array
  • Est. resolution date
  • Total event volume$0.00
  • Timeline

    The market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by .

    1. Event open
    2. Event closed
    3. Projected payout
  • Insider trading is prohibited

    The following are prohibited from trading this contract:

    • Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
    • Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.

Trade Yes contracts

ContractVolumePrice1D changeEst. probability
Above 260
$098¢-100.00%
Above 270
$098¢-100.00%
Above 280
$098¢-100.00%
Above 290
$098¢-100.00%
Above 300
$098¢-100.00%
Above 310
$098¢-100.00%
Above 320
$098¢-100.00%

Trade No contracts

ContractVolumePrice1D changeEst. probability
Above 260
$098¢+100.00%
Above 270
$098¢+100.00%
Above 280
$098¢+100.00%
Above 290
$098¢+100.00%
Above 300
$098¢+100.00%
Above 310
$098¢+100.00%
Above 320
$098¢+100.00%

FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Public shows live market-implied probabilities, contract prices, and trading volume for Celebrity beauty TikTok Shop array index in November. The leading outcome is Above 260, with an estimated probability of 0% and a Yes contract price of $0.98. Odds can change as traders buy and sell event contracts.

On Public, you can buy and sell event contracts for Celebrity beauty TikTok Shop array index in November by choosing from the available outcomes. Compare live odds, probabilities, prices, and trading volume before making a trade. You can manage prediction markets alongside stocks, options, bonds, and crypto on Public.

Each event contract represents an outcome for Celebrity beauty TikTok Shop array index in November. On Public, you can take a Yes or No position based on whether you think that outcome will occur. Contract prices reflect market-implied probabilities and can change as the market trades.

The estimated resolution date for Celebrity beauty TikTok Shop array index in November is Dec 6, 2026. The prediction market will resolve according to its contract terms using Carbon Arc - Celebrity Beauty TikTok Shop Volume Array as the designated source. See the full contract terms on Public for the specific resolution criteria.

Yes. Public's AI Agents let you automate prediction market strategies using rules you define in plain English. Create an Agent to monitor the odds for Celebrity beauty TikTok Shop array index in November and take supported actions when your conditions are met. Since prediction markets trade 24/7, your Agent can monitor opportunities around the clock. You can also connect Public to your preferred AI model through MCP, including ChatGPT, Claude, Perplexity, Grok, and Muse.

How to trade the odds on Celebrity beauty TikTok Shop array index in November

  1. 1

    Create a Public account

    Sign up on Public.com or download the Public app for iOS or Android. Complete your profile in minutes, then explore live odds and probabilities across prediction markets.

  2. 2

    Fund your account

    Securely link your bank account to deposit funds. Depending on eligibility, you may unlock up to $250,000 in instant buying power right away.

  3. 3

    Buy and sell event contracts

    Explore Prediction Markets from the Invest menu or search Public for Celebrity beauty TikTok Shop array index in November. Review the latest odds and probabilities, then buy or sell event contracts based on your view.

  4. 4

    Manage your portfolio

    Track your prediction market positions alongside stocks, options, bonds, and crypto. Plus, create AI Agents for investing and connect your portfolio through MCP to AI models like ChatGPT, Claude, Perplexity, Grok, and Muse.

Related events

Rhode TikTok Shop growth in November
| $0.00 Vol.
Above 105
Above 115
Above 120
r.e.m. beauty TikTok Shop growth in November
| $0.00 Vol.
Above 135
Above 130
Above 145
Haus Labs TikTok Shop growth in November
| $0.00 Vol.
Above 525
Above 550
Above 475
Fenty Beauty TikTok Shop growth in November
| $0.00 Vol.
Above 75
Above 65
Above 45
Rare Beauty TikTok Shop growth in November
| $0.00 Vol.
Above 625
Above 600
Above 700

Live odds on Celebrity beauty TikTok Shop array index in November

Track live odds and trade event contracts inside a multi-asset portfolio on Public. Plus, create AI Agents for your prediction market strategies.

Celebrity beauty TikTok Shop array index in November

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Event estimated to resolve on at 10:00AM. These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.


Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.


Trading event contracts involves significant risk and is not appropriate for all investors. Before investing, please read our Event Contracts Risk Disclosure and carefully consider your financial situation, investment objectives, and risk tolerance. Live data is for informational purposes only and may be delayed or incorrect.


Event contracts offered by Open to the Public Investing, Inc. and Apex Clearing Corp. through KalshiEX LLC.

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