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How many Texas counties will James Talarico win in 2026?

At least 2099¢99%
At least 2299¢99%
At least 2499¢99%
$81,529.72 Vol.

Event estimated to resolve on . These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.

About

If the number of Texas counties won by James Talarico is at least 20 in the November 3, 2026 U.S. Senate general election, then the market resolves to Yes. A county counts as won by James Talarico if he receives more votes there than any other candidate. All 254 Texas counties are counted. The first official, non-preliminary Texas Secretary of State result or statewide canvass available for the Nov 3, 2026 general election determines the count.

  • Full contract termsView
  • SourceTexas Secretary of State
  • Est. resolution date
  • Total event volume$81,529.72
  • Timeline

    The market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by .

    1. Event open
    2. Event closed
    3. Projected payout
  • Insider trading is prohibited

    The following are prohibited from trading this contract:

    • Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
    • Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
    • Any candidate currently listed as a market within this event.

Trade Yes contracts

ContractVolumePrice1D changeEst. probability
At least 44$21.97K5¢+150.00%
At least 24
$11.09K100¢-1.00%
At least 20
$10K100¢+9,800.00%
At least 40$7K99¢+3.13%
At least 30
$6.58K100¢+9,800.00%
At least 42$6.19K5¢+150.00%
At least 28
$4.86K100¢+9,800.00%
At least 32
$5K100¢+9,800.00%
At least 34
$2.87K100¢+9,800.00%
At least 22
$3K100¢-1.00%

Trade No contracts

ContractVolumePrice1D changeEst. probability
At least 44$21.97K100¢-3.06%
At least 24
$11.09K1¢—
At least 20
$10K1¢0.00%
At least 40$7K6¢-75.00%
At least 30
$6.58K1¢0.00%
At least 42$6.19K100¢-3.06%
At least 28
$4.86K1¢0.00%
At least 32
$5K1¢0.00%
At least 34
$2.87K2¢0.00%
At least 22
$3K1¢—

FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Public shows live market-implied probabilities, contract prices, and trading volume for How many Texas counties will James Talarico win in 2026?. The leading outcome is At least 20, with an estimated probability of 99% and a Yes contract price of $1.00. Odds can change as traders buy and sell event contracts.

On Public, you can buy and sell event contracts for How many Texas counties will James Talarico win in 2026? by choosing from the available outcomes. Compare live odds, probabilities, prices, and trading volume before making a trade. You can manage prediction markets alongside stocks, options, bonds, and crypto on Public.

Each event contract represents an outcome for How many Texas counties will James Talarico win in 2026?. On Public, you can take a Yes or No position based on whether you think that outcome will occur. Contract prices reflect market-implied probabilities and can change as the market trades.

The estimated resolution date for How many Texas counties will James Talarico win in 2026? is Dec 7, 2026. The prediction market will resolve according to its contract terms using Texas Secretary of State as the designated source. See the full contract terms on Public for the specific resolution criteria.

Yes. Public's AI Agents let you automate prediction market strategies using rules you define in plain English. Create an Agent to monitor the odds for How many Texas counties will James Talarico win in 2026? and take supported actions when your conditions are met. Since prediction markets trade 24/7, your Agent can monitor opportunities around the clock. You can also connect Public to your preferred AI model through MCP, including ChatGPT, Claude, Perplexity, Grok, and Muse.

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James Talarico, 4-6%
James Talarico, 2-4%
Texas Senate election: James Talarico vote percent
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Hidalgo County, Texas: James Talarico vote percent
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Texas Senate election: Ken Paxton vote percent
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Above 10.60M
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Yes

Live odds on How many Texas counties will James Talarico win in 2026?

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How many Texas counties will James Talarico win in 2026?

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Event estimated to resolve on at 10:00AM. These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.


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