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Elections

Larger Governor margin: Lombardo or Jackson?

Rick Jackson91¢91%
Joe Lombardo24¢24%
$5,860.36 Vol.

Event estimated to resolve on . These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.

About

If Rick Jackson's margin in the Georgia gubernatorial election minus Joe Lombardo's margin in the Nevada gubernatorial election is above 0 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Each candidate's margin is their percentage of the total votes cast in their gubernatorial race minus the percentage received by the highest-finishing other candidate in that race, calculated from the certified results. A margin is negative if the candidate does not finish first. Total votes cast include write-in votes reported in the certified results. Georgia's margin is from the Nov 3, 2026 general election; a Georgia runoff does NOT count. The difference between the two margins is rounded to two decimal places. A difference of exactly 0.00 resolves Lombardo Yes.

  • Full contract termsView
  • SourceGeorgia Secretary of State, Nevada Secretary of State
  • Est. resolution date
  • Total event volume$5,860.36
  • Timeline

    The market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by .

    1. Event open
    2. Event closed
    3. Projected payout
  • Insider trading is prohibited

    The following are prohibited from trading this contract:

    • Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
    • Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.

Trade Yes contracts

ContractVolumePrice1D changeEst. probability
Rick Jackson
$4.16K5¢+4,450.00%
Joe Lombardo
$1.70K98¢-75.00%

Trade No contracts

ContractVolumePrice1D changeEst. probability
Rick Jackson
$4.16K100¢-90.82%
Joe Lombardo
$1.70K5¢+1,800.00%

FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Public shows live market-implied probabilities, contract prices, and trading volume for Larger Governor margin: Lombardo or Jackson?. The leading outcome is Rick Jackson, with an estimated probability of 91% and a Yes contract price of $0.05. Odds can change as traders buy and sell event contracts.

On Public, you can buy and sell event contracts for Larger Governor margin: Lombardo or Jackson? by choosing from the available outcomes. Compare live odds, probabilities, prices, and trading volume before making a trade. You can manage prediction markets alongside stocks, options, bonds, and crypto on Public.

Each event contract represents an outcome for Larger Governor margin: Lombardo or Jackson?. On Public, you can take a Yes or No position based on whether you think that outcome will occur. Contract prices reflect market-implied probabilities and can change as the market trades.

The estimated resolution date for Larger Governor margin: Lombardo or Jackson? is Dec 7, 2026. The prediction market will resolve according to its contract terms using Georgia Secretary of State, Nevada Secretary of State as the designated source. See the full contract terms on Public for the specific resolution criteria.

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Live odds on Larger Governor margin: Lombardo or Jackson?

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Larger Governor margin: Lombardo or Jackson?

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Event estimated to resolve on at 10:00AM. These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.


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