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Tech and science events

Explore live odds across tech and science prediction markets on Public. Track probabilities for AI model releases and market share, space missions, medical approvals, and public health outcomes. Buy and sell event contracts based on your view, or use AI Agents to automate prediction strategies.

Trade tech and science event contracts

Take positions on AI releases, space missions, medical approvals, and health outcomes on Public. Plus, create AI Agents for your strategies.

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When will Blue Origin launch New Shepard?
$410.90 Vol.
Before July, 2028
Before 2029
Z.AI share of requests on Nov 16, 2026 (Vercel)
| $0.00 Vol.
Above 6.2%
Above 8.6%
Above 10.4%
ANTH
Anthropic share of spend on Nov 16, 2026 (Vercel)
| $2.00 Vol.
Above 37.6%
Above 40.3%
Above 47.1%
Top AI agent this week
| $0.00 Vol.
Moonshot
OpenAI
Tencent
ANTH
Fable 5.2+ debut arena score
| $183.78 Vol.
Above 1530
Above 1540
Above 1550
Open source share of spend on Nov 16, 2026 (Vercel)
| $0.00 Vol.
Above 27.0%
Above 34.0%
Above 21.1%
Top coding AI this month (DeepSWE)
| $28.38 Vol.
ChatGPT
Claude
GLM
Top Text to Image AI this week
| $36.00 Vol.
OpenAI
Reve
HiDream
Top Coding AI this week
| $139.32 Vol.
Claude
ChatGPT
Gemini
Most popular AI this week
| $2,075.80 Vol.
DeepSeek
OpenAI
Anthropic
DeepSeek share of requests on Nov 16, 2026 (Vercel)
| $0.00 Vol.
Above 15.9%
Above 12.3%
Above 11.8%
Top coding AI this month (Arena.ai)
| $14.00 Vol.
Claude
Gemini
Qwen
OPEA
Astra 6.1+ debut arena score
| $2,484.00 Vol.
Above 1460
Above 1480
Above 1430
ANTH
Anthropic share of requests on Nov 16, 2026 (Vercel)
| $0.00 Vol.
Above 8.5%
Above 7.4%
Above 7.5%
Open source token share Nov 9–15 (OpenRouter)
| $169.20 Vol.
Above 71.8%
Above 76.8%
Above 75.6%
Which country will have the best LLM at the end of the decade?
| $4,039.40 Vol.
United States
China
United Arab Emirates
OPEA
OpenAI share of spend on Nov 16, 2026 (Vercel)
| $0.00 Vol.
Above 13.3%
Above 15.1%
Above 12.4%
Top Chinese AI company this month
| $2,391.08 Vol.
Alibaba
Xiaomi
Moonshot

Showing 18 of 119 events.

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Trading event contracts involves significant risk and is not appropriate for all investors. Before investing, please read our Event Contracts Risk Disclosure and carefully consider your financial situation, investment objectives, and risk tolerance. Live data is for informational purposes only and may be delayed or incorrect. Timestamps are in UTC.


Event contracts offered by Open to the Public Investing, Inc. and Apex Clearing Corp. through KalshiEX LLC.

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Self-directed brokerage accounts and brokerage services for US-listed, registered securities, options, and Bonds, except for treasury securities offered through Jiko Securities, Inc., are offered to self-directed customers by Open to the Public Investing, Inc. (“Public Investing”), a registered broker-dealer and member of FINRA & SIPC. Additional information about your broker can be found by clicking here. Public Investing is a wholly-owned subsidiary of Public Holdings, Inc. (“Public Holdings”). This is not an offer, solicitation of an offer, or advice to buy or sell securities or open a brokerage account in any jurisdiction where Public Investing is not registered. Securities products offered by Public Investing are not FDIC insured. Apex Clearing Corporation, our clearing firm, has additional insurance coverage in excess of the regular SIPC limits. Additional information can be found here.

Options.
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Bonds.
“Bonds” shall refer to corporate debt securities and U.S. government securities offered on the Public platform through a self-directed brokerage account held at Public Investing and custodied at Apex Clearing. For purposes of this section, Bonds exclude treasury securities held in treasury accounts with Jiko Securities, Inc. as explained under the “ Treasury Accounts” section.

Investments in Bonds are subject to various risks including risks related to interest rates, credit quality, market valuations, liquidity, prepayments, early redemption, corporate events, tax ramifications and other factors. The value of Bonds fluctuate and any investments sold prior to maturity may result in gain or loss of principal. In general, when interest rates go up, Bond prices typically drop, and vice versa. Bonds with higher yields or offered by issuers with lower credit ratings generally carry a higher degree of risk. All fixed income securities are subject to price change and availability, and yield is subject to change. Bond ratings, if provided, are third party opinions on the overall bond's credit worthiness at the time the rating is assigned. Ratings are not recommendations to purchase, hold, or sell securities, and they do not address the market value of securities or their suitability for investment purposes.

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High-Yield Cash Account.
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Cryptocurrency.
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Treasury Accounts.
Investing services in treasury accounts offering 6 month US Treasury Bills on the Public platform are through Jiko Securities, Inc. (“JSI”), a registered broker-dealer and member of FINRA & SIPC. See JSI’s FINRA BrokerCheck and Form CRS for further information. JSI uses funds from your Treasury Account to purchase T-bills in increments of $100 “par value” (the T-bill’s value at maturity). T-bills are purchased at a discount to the par value and the T-bill’s yield represents the difference in price between the “par value” and the “discount price.” Aggregate funds in your Treasury Account in excess of the T-bill purchases will remain in your Treasury Account as cash. The value of T-bills fluctuate and investors may receive more or less than their original investments if sold prior to maturity. T-bills are subject to price change and availability - yield is subject to change. Past performance is not indicative of future performance. Investments in T-bills involve a variety of risks, including credit risk, interest rate risk, and liquidity risk. As a general rule, the price of a T-bills moves inversely to changes in interest rates. Although T-bills are considered safer than many other financial instruments, you could lose all or a part of your investment. See Jiko U.S. Treasuries Risk Disclosures for further details.

Investments in T-bills: Not FDIC Insured; No Bank Guarantee; May Lose Value.

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Alpha.
Alpha is an experiment brought to you by Public Holdings, Inc. (“Public”). Alpha is an AI research tool powered by GPT-4, a generative large language model. Alpha is experimental technology and may give inaccurate or inappropriate responses. Output from Alpha should not be construed as investment research or recommendations, and should not serve as the basis for any investment decision. All Alpha output is provided “as is.” Public makes no representations or warranties with respect to the accuracy, completeness, quality, timeliness, or any other characteristic of such output. Your use of Alpha output is at your sole risk. Please independently evaluate and verify the accuracy of any such output for your own use case.

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