Where will Jensen Huang work next in 2026?
Event estimated to resolve on . These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.
About
If Jensen Huang joins SpaceX / xAI before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Joining in any capacity counts, including as an employee, executive, board member or advisor, even while Jensen Huang remains at Nvidia. An announcement that Jensen Huang will join a company counts as joining it, even if the role begins on or after Jan 1, 2027. The following do NOT count: Preliminary discussions, negotiations, or "talks" about potential employment Conditional offers that have not been accepted Unpaid speaking engagements, guest appearances, or one-time consulting Investments in a company, or partnership agreements between it and Nvidia, without an employment relationship
- Full contract termsView
- SourceABC News, AMD newsroom, Apple Newsroom, Axios, Bloomberg News, CBS News, CNBC, CNN, Financial Times, Fox News, Intel newsroom, MSNBC, Meta newsroom, Microsoft newsroom, NBC News, Neuralink official website, Nvidia newsroom, OpenAI newsroom, Politico, Reuters, Securities and Exchange Commission filings, Semafor, SpaceX official website, TSMC newsroom, TechCrunch, Tesla official website, The Information, The Wall Street Journal, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, the New York Times, xAI official website
- Est. resolution date
- Total event volume$443,776.16
- Timeline
- Insider trading is prohibited
Trade Yes contracts
| Contract | Volume | Price | 1D change | Est. probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SpaceX / xAI | $326.35K | 9¢ | +83.33% | |
| Tesla | $50.30K | 4¢ | +100.00% | |
| TSMC | $21.53K | 5¢ | +100.00% | |
| Intel | $13.80K | 3¢ | +50.00% | |
| AMD | $10.99K | 3¢ | +50.00% | |
| Oracle | $7.18K | 3¢ | +50.00% | |
| OpenAI | $6.75K | 2¢ | +100.00% | |
| Apple | $3.84K | 2¢ | +100.00% | |
| SoftBank | $1.64K | 4¢ | +50.00% | |
| Microsoft | $1.40K | 2¢ | +100.00% |
Trade No contracts
| Contract | Volume | Price | 1D change | Est. probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SpaceX / xAI | $326.35K | 93¢ | -5.32% | |
| Tesla | $50.30K | 99¢ | -2.04% | |
| TSMC | $21.53K | 100¢ | -2.04% | |
| Intel | $13.80K | 100¢ | -1.02% | |
| AMD | $10.99K | 99¢ | -1.02% | |
| Oracle | $7.18K | 100¢ | -1.02% | |
| OpenAI | $6.75K | 100¢ | -1.01% | |
| Apple | $3.84K | 100¢ | -1.01% | |
| SoftBank | $1.64K | 99¢ | -1.02% | |
| Microsoft | $1.40K | 100¢ | -1.01% |
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Where will Jensen Huang work next in 2026?
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Learn moreEvent estimated to resolve on at 10:00AM. These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.
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