Which agencies will be eliminated?
Event estimated to resolve on . These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.
About
If a bill that eliminates IRS or ends all of its funding becomes law after Issuance, or the President uses authority granted by Congress to do so, before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes. A bill counts whether it is enacted on its own or as a provision of a larger bill, such as an appropriations act or a continuing resolution. Merging the agency's authorities with another agency counts. The following do NOT count: Executive orders, layoffs, office closures or transfers of functions that are not carried out by a law or under authority granted by Congress. Altering the agency's authorities without changing its name, or any other alteration. Clarification (3/3/26): While the Consolidated Appropriations Act, 2026 reflects the reorganization of USAID functions into the State Department, it continues to appropriate funds for the USAID Office of Inspector General, which remains operational under that title. Because funding has not fully ended for all entities operating under the USAID name, this market will not resolve to Yes at this time.
- Full contract termsView
- SourceLibrary of Congress, The New York Times
- Est. resolution date
- Total event volume$406,011.68
- Timeline
- Insider trading is prohibited
Trade Yes contracts
| Contract | Volume | Price | 1D change | Est. probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| USAID | $311.13K | 9.9¢ | -2.22% | |
| IRS | $69.55K | 8.9¢ | +48.33% | |
| EPA | $20.69K | 11¢ | -13.33% | |
| NASA | $4.64K | 7.1¢ | -50.00% |
Trade No contracts
| Contract | Volume | Price | 1D change | Est. probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| USAID | $311.13K | 91.3¢ | +0.22% | |
| IRS | $69.55K | 96¢ | -3.09% | |
| EPA | $20.69K | 93¢ | +1.32% | |
| NASA | $4.64K | 98¢ | +2.08% |
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Which agencies will be eliminated?
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Learn moreEvent estimated to resolve on at 10:00AM. These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.
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