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Politics

Will the filibuster be weakened?

Before Jan 1, 203067¢67%
Before Jul 1, 202959¢59%
Before Jan 20, 202942¢42%
$259,408.58 Vol.

These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.

About

If there is a change in U.S. Senate rules or precedent that lowers the threshold for cloture for any legislative action whose threshold for cloture at time of Issuance is three-fifths of all Senators duly chosen and sworn before January 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes. Modifications to budget reconciliation rules are not encompassed and do not resolve the market to Yes. See full rules for examples.

  • Full contract termsView
  • SourceLibrary of Congress, U.S. Senate
  • Est. resolution date—
  • Total event volume$259,408.58
  • Timeline

    The market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by .

    1. Event open
    2. Event closed
    3. Projected payout
  • Insider trading is prohibited

    The following are prohibited from trading this contract:

    • Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
    • Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.

Trade Yes contracts

ContractVolumePrice1D changeEst. probability
Before Jan 1, 2027$196.53K2.2¢+5.00%
Before Jan 20, 2029
$19.98K44¢0.00%
Before Apr 1, 2027
$12.69K9¢+12.50%
Before Jan 1, 2028
$11.60K19¢0.00%
Before Jul 1, 2028
$8.80K28¢-15.38%
Before Jul 1, 2027
$7.62K12¢0.00%
Before Jul 1, 2029
$1.09K62¢-1.67%
Before Oct 1, 2027
$1.08K18¢-5.88%
Before Jan 1, 2030
$2268¢-1.47%

Trade No contracts

ContractVolumePrice1D changeEst. probability
Before Jan 1, 2027$196.53K97.9¢-0.10%
Before Jan 20, 2029
$19.98K58¢0.00%
Before Apr 1, 2027
$12.69K94¢-1.09%
Before Jan 1, 2028
$11.60K82¢0.00%
Before Jul 1, 2028
$8.80K77¢+5.41%
Before Jul 1, 2027
$7.62K91¢0.00%
Before Jul 1, 2029
$1.09K41¢+2.50%
Before Oct 1, 2027
$1.08K84¢+1.20%
Before Jan 1, 2030
$2233¢+3.13%

FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Public shows live market-implied probabilities, contract prices, and trading volume for Will the filibuster be weakened?. The leading outcome is Before Jan 1, 2030, with an estimated probability of 67% and a Yes contract price of $0.68. Odds can change as traders buy and sell event contracts.

On Public, you can buy and sell event contracts for Will the filibuster be weakened? by choosing from the available outcomes. Compare live odds, probabilities, prices, and trading volume before making a trade. You can manage prediction markets alongside stocks, options, bonds, and crypto on Public.

Each event contract represents an outcome for Will the filibuster be weakened?. On Public, you can take a Yes or No position based on whether you think that outcome will occur. Contract prices reflect market-implied probabilities and can change as the market trades.

The prediction market will resolve according to its contract terms using Library of Congress, U.S. Senate as the designated source. See the full contract terms on Public for the specific resolution criteria.

Yes. Public's AI Agents let you automate prediction market strategies using rules you define in plain English. Create an Agent to monitor the odds for Will the filibuster be weakened? and take supported actions when your conditions are met. Since prediction markets trade 24/7, your Agent can monitor opportunities around the clock. You can also connect Public to your preferred AI model through MCP, including ChatGPT, Claude, Perplexity, Grok, and Muse.

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Live odds on Will the filibuster be weakened?

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Will the filibuster be weakened?

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Event estimated to resolve on the estimated date at 10:00AM. These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.


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