
Acadia Healthcare (ACHC) Stock Forecast & Price Target
Acadia Healthcare (ACHC) Analyst Ratings
Bulls say
Acadia Healthcare Co is viewed positively because its 3Q26 results showed stronger-than-expected revenue of $895M, EBITDA of $176M, and same-facility revenue growth of 5.2%, supported by 4.0% pricing gains and stable payor dynamics. The bullish case also rests on the company’s improving operational execution, with 2026 EBITDA guidance raised to $615M-$625M, startup losses trending better, and new facilities reaching licensing, accreditation, and contracting milestones faster than expected. Longer term, management expects about $60M of incremental EBITDA in 2027 from the 2023-2026 new-facility cohort, alongside lower capex and potential added benefits from FL and OH programs that could further strengthen cash flow.
Bears say
Acadia Healthcare Co is facing a cautious outlook because management’s limited sizing of 2027 tailwinds and headwinds leaves the implied ~$672M starting point vulnerable to downside from PLGL, NY Medicaid/PA backfill, CTC revenue, investigation costs, and more than $20M of FL and OH DPP under review. The company also faces execution risk as newly added beds from 2023-2026 may ramp slower than expected, while Medicaid funding and reimbursement pressure, regulatory scrutiny, and tighter labor supply could compress margins and reduce cash generation. Even with the ~10% adj. EBITDA growth implied by the 2023-26 cohorts, the negative backdrop suggests those gains may be offset by cost inflation, operating volatility, and limited visibility into future earnings quality.
This aggregate rating is based on analysts' research of Acadia Healthcare and is not a guaranteed prediction by Public.com or investment advice.
Acadia Healthcare (ACHC) Analyst Forecast & Price Prediction
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Acadia Healthcare (ACHC) Analyst Forecast & Price Prediction
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