Bloomin' Brands (BLMN) Stock Forecast & Price Target

Bloomin Brands Inc. has demonstrated strong performance in its restaurant segments, with Carrabba's and Fleming's showing notable same-store sales growth of 3.9% and 3.8%, respectively, surpassing consensus estimates by 300 basis points and 160 basis points. In the second quarter of 2025, the company reported an earnings per share (EPS) of $0.33, exceeding consensus expectations by $0.05, driven by modest comparable sales improvement and favorable tax impacts, which more than compensated for lower restaurant margins. This combination of robust segment growth and positive earnings performance suggests a resilient operational foundation, supporting a favorable outlook for Bloomin Brands's stock.

Bloomin Brands Inc. is facing significant headwinds, as evidenced by a 10% decline in traffic over a three-year period, leading to persistent challenges in blended comparable sales. Additionally, the company has revised its 2025 earnings per share (EPS) guidance downward by approximately 20% to a range of $1.00-$1.10, which is notably below the consensus estimate of $1.23. This marks the second instance in four quarters where Bloomin Brands has implemented such a substantial EPS guidance cut, further highlighting the company's ongoing financial difficulties.