CHD Stock Forecast & Price Target

Church & Dwight Co. has demonstrated consistent share gains across its portfolio, expecting this trend to contribute to above-category growth for the remainder of the year. The company's strong gross margin performance is supported by productivity, volume leverage, and the momentum of higher-margin brands, which together facilitate high-quality earnings growth while allowing for reinvestment in volume initiatives. In the first quarter, Church & Dwight successfully gained share in nine out of fourteen major brands, with 80% of its business experiencing volume share growth, underscoring its robust market positioning.

Church & Dwight Co. is facing a challenging outlook, with expectations of a top-line compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of only approximately 2% and peak profit margins capped at around 19% through 2034, largely attributed to competitive erosion of its leading brands. The company has revised its full-year organic sales guidance down by 250 basis points, and earnings per share expectations have been reduced by 6% at the midpoint, reflecting a disappointing performance outlook. Additionally, projections for 2025 have been lowered due to anticipated slower sales growth, ongoing retailer destocking, and tariff pressures, which are expected to significantly impact financial performance.