
EAF Stock Forecast & Price Target
EAF Analyst Ratings
Bulls say
GrafTech International Ltd anticipates a year-on-year increase in sales volumes of over 10% in FY25, driven by enhanced demand for needle coke, increased steel production, and the broader adoption of electric arc furnaces (EAF) as part of global decarbonization trends. The company is focused on regaining market share lost during previous disruptions and plans to prioritize higher-margin clients and regions with better price dynamics, which should contribute to improving profit margins. Additionally, GrafTech has successfully implemented significant cost reductions in production while aiming for further efficiencies, positioning itself advantageously in a tightening needle coke market.
Bears say
GrafTech International's stock outlook is negatively influenced by a challenging pricing environment, as average LTA pricing for graphite electrodes has decreased to $7,700 per metric ton in Q4, down from $8,763 per metric ton in the fiscal year 2023. Additionally, the company anticipates negative EBITDA in the first half of 2025 due to potential production curtailments among electric arc furnace (EAF) and other electrode producers aimed at reducing inventory levels, necessitating a downward revision of EBITDA estimates for FY25 and FY26. Finally, the decline in average realized electrode prices, which have dropped significantly from approximately $9,600 per ton in 2018, further exacerbates the financial pressures faced by GrafTech, impacting its overall margin profile and growth prospects.
This aggregate rating is based on analysts' research of GrafTech International Ltd. and is not a guaranteed prediction by Public.com or investment advice.
EAF Analyst Forecast & Price Prediction
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