
EAF Stock Forecast & Price Target
EAF Analyst Ratings
Bulls say
GrafTech International is poised for growth in FY25, with projected sales volumes expected to increase by more than 10% due to improved demand for petroleum needle coke, rising steel production, and a shift towards electric arc furnace (EAF) technology driven by global decarbonization efforts. The company has exhibited a strong operational strategy, highlighting a 20% reduction in costs per ton in 2024, with further targeted reductions anticipated in 2025, which will enhance profitability amid market challenges. Additionally, GrafTech's focus on rebalancing its order book towards higher-margin customers and its advantageous position within the tight needle coke market position it favorably against non-integrated competitors.
Bears say
GrafTech International is facing significant financial challenges reflected in declining average LTA pricing, which fell to $7,700 per metric ton in Q4 from $8,763 per metric ton in FY23, signaling a deterioration in revenue generation. Additionally, the company anticipates a negative EBITDA in the first half of 2025, exacerbated by the need for EAF electrode producers to curtail production to manage inventory levels, resulting in lowered EBITDA estimates for Q1 and FY25. The persistent decline in spot prices and lower average realized electrode prices, highlighted by a drop from approximately $9,600 per ton in 2018 to under $5,000 per ton, further underscores the challenging market dynamics that negatively impact GrafTech's financial outlook.
This aggregate rating is based on analysts' research of GrafTech International Ltd. and is not a guaranteed prediction by Public.com or investment advice.
EAF Analyst Forecast & Price Prediction
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