FND Stock Forecast & Price Target

Floor & Decor Holdings Inc. is projected to deliver an 8.0% year-over-year sales increase in Q2 2025, reaching $1.2 billion, driven by a combination of new unit growth of approximately 13% and a comparable store sales increase of 1.0%. The company anticipates a gross margin expansion of 70 basis points to 44.0%, supported by reduced transportation costs and a diversified supply chain, which enhances cost efficiency. Additionally, the professional sales segment is expected to strengthen, now representing 50% of total sales, indicating solid growth potential as the company enhances its e-commerce experience for professional customers.

Floor & Decor Holdings Inc. is experiencing challenges, reflected in declining operating margin forecasts, with a contraction of approximately 10 basis points to 5.6%, alongside a negative comp sales growth guidance of between -2% and -1%. Additionally, the broader market dynamics reveal a decrease in existing home sales and retail sales of building materials and supplies, both down by 1% in 2Q25, which could impact consumer demand for the company's products. Furthermore, the ongoing risk of tariffs and the volatility of commodity costs represent significant headwinds that may hinder the company's financial performance and market position despite its efforts to gain market share.