
FUN Stock Forecast & Price Target
FUN Analyst Ratings
Bulls say
Six Flags Entertainment is supported by a constructive back-half setup, with management reiterating EBITDA growth in 3Q26 and 4Q26, aided by 92 additional operating days, stronger Halloween and holiday events, and a path to 2026 same-store EBITDA growth of 6%. The turnaround case is strengthened by a new CEO with theme-park expertise, technology-driven upselling, higher in-park spending, procurement efficiencies, and pro forma attendance expected to rise about 3% in 2026, while pro forma EBITDA is modeled to increase 17% from 2025 to 2027E. Despite leverage of 5.5x and expected pressure to 5.9x by 1Q27E, asset sales, sufficient cash, and a valuation of 7.5x 2027E EV/EBITDA versus 9.3x for the broader leisure sector support a favorable long-term view.
Bears say
Six Flags Entertainment is facing a fundamentally weaker setup as softer weather trends, especially in August, and mixed conditions across the portfolio are pressuring attendance, which is expected to decline 4% on an adjusted basis in 3Q and 6% in 4Q. The outlook is further damaged by the Georgia incident on 10/12 and the related ride closures and negative press, compounding an already adverse news cycle tied to Magic Mountain’s X2 Coaster, while 4Q EBITDA was cut to $143mm from $185mm and 2026 EBITDA to $726mm from $787mm. Even with 2Q revenue of $865M and same-store attendance up 4%, EBITDA of $243M missed estimates by 12%, underscoring that expense growth, weather, and operational disruptions are overwhelming the benefit from season pass growth.
This aggregate rating is based on analysts' research of Six Flags Entertainment Corporation and is not a guaranteed prediction by Public.com or investment advice.
FUN Analyst Forecast & Price Prediction
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