
GPK Stock Forecast & Price Target
GPK Analyst Ratings
Bulls say
Graphic Packaging Holding Co. is transitioning into a well-positioned consumer packaging company, showcasing a positive outlook for its valuation with expectations of trading at 9-10 times EBITDA long-term, an increase from the current approximately 8 times. The company is projected to experience significant free cash flow growth, estimated at over $300 million in 2026 and beyond, which is anticipated to primarily support stock buybacks, making it an appealing investment following a recent pullback in stock price. Additionally, sustained flat to slightly increasing volume growth driven by strategic tuck-in acquisitions and potential improvements in US consumer product trends further support the optimistic financial outlook for Graphic Packaging.
Bears say
Graphic Packaging Holding Co has experienced a downward revision of its EBITDA estimates for Q3 and FY25/FY26, declining to $380 million, $1.435 billion, and $1.5 billion due to ongoing weakness in food volumes and price/cost pressures. The company's product volumes have shown a negative trend, with a notable decline of -2% in August and continuing softness observed in September, particularly in categories like granola bars and cereal, suggesting a greater struggle in the center-aisle product offerings. Additionally, challenges related to inflation, sluggish consumer packaged goods (CPG) demand, and an oversupply of bleached paperboard are expected to hinder Graphic Packaging's pricing power and overall financial performance, leading to proactive production cuts and further EBITDA impacts.
This aggregate rating is based on analysts' research of Graphic Packaging Hld and is not a guaranteed prediction by Public.com or investment advice.
GPK Analyst Forecast & Price Prediction
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