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JCI
Volume: 106

Johnson Controls (JCI) Stock Forecast & Price Target

Johnson Controls (JCI) Analyst Ratings

Based on 13 analyst ratings
Hold
Strong Buy 15%
Buy 31%
Hold 46%
Sell 8%
Strong Sell 0%

Bulls say

Johnson Controls Intl is viewed positively because the post-2025 portfolio is increasingly focused on higher-quality commercial HVAC plus fire and security, with roughly 60% of revenue from commercial HVAC and 40% from fire and security, while the 2016 merger thesis of broader building automation is being reinforced by cross-sell and service attachment opportunities. Management’s proprietary business system is already showing tangible operating gains, including a 40% reduction in NPI time-to-market, 4x CRAH capacity without additional fixed costs, and a move toward a pro forma mix of one-third products, one-third installation, and one-third services that should support recurring revenue and margin resilience. The outlook is further underpinned by an upgraded long-term algorithm to HSD% organic growth, +30% operating leverage, +DD% EPS growth, and 95%-100% free cash flow conversion, supported by datacenter growth from ~12% of revenue in 2025 to ~33% within five years.

Bears say

Johnson Controls Intl is viewed negatively because its post-2025 business mix remains heavily exposed to cyclical commercial HVAC and the slower-growing fire and security market, leaving the 2016 Tyco merger thesis of broad automation synergies looking less compelling than expected. The company ranks last in industrials for earnings quality, with historical sub-100% FCF conversion, lower margins and growth, and a long record of excluding restructuring charges, which creates a wide gap between adjusted earnings and GAAP. At 23.8x the FY2027 estimate, or a ~7% premium to peers, the stock already discounts improvement, yet persistent cash flow weakness and delayed synergy delivery could compress valuation to 18.4x 2027 P/E.

Johnson Controls (JCI) has been analyzed by 13 analysts, with a consensus rating of Hold. 15% of analysts recommend a Strong Buy, 31% recommend Buy, 46% suggest Holding, 8% advise Selling, and 0% predict a Strong Sell.

This aggregate rating is based on analysts' research of Johnson Controls and is not a guaranteed prediction by Public.com or investment advice.

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FAQs About Johnson Controls (JCI) Forecast

Analysts have given Johnson Controls (JCI) a Hold based on their latest research and market trends.

According to 13 analysts, Johnson Controls (JCI) has a Hold consensus rating as of Nov 13, 2026. This rating is provided by third-party analysts and is not investment advice from Public.com.

Wall Street analysts have set a price target of $170.46, reflecting a 0.00% increase from the current stock price.

Financial analysts have set a price target of $170.46, indicating a 0.00% increase from the current stock price, but ratings and forecasts are frequently updated based on market conditions, earnings reports, and industry trends. This prediction is provided by third-party analysts and is not investment advice from Public.com.

Johnson Controls (JCI)

Volume: 106

Johnson Controls (JCI) Analyst Forecast & Price Prediction

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