
LOB Stock Forecast & Price Target
LOB Analyst Ratings
Bulls say
Live Oak Bancshares is favored because its core growth engine remains strong, with 20%+ annual balance-sheet growth, record loan pipelines of $4.6B, and commercial loan production up 66% quarter over quarter, which supports durable NII and fee expansion. Even though 3Q was pressured by higher provisions and NCOs tied to distillery portfolio exits, the delayed credit inflection appears manageable, and normalized provision expense in the $20mm-$25mm range would help earnings accelerate. The valuation also looks compelling at 8.3x 2027 EPS and 1.1x 2027 TBV, especially given expectations for 50%+ FY27E core EPS growth and ROTCE improving to about 15% from 11% in 2026.
Bears say
Live Oak Bancshares is facing a weaker fundamental outlook because credit quality is deteriorating, with the NCO ratio rising to 1.00%, unguaranteed nonperforming historical-cost loans increasing to 1.05% of HFI loans, and NPAs reaching 3.00% of assets. Earnings also disappointed, as 3Q EPS of $0.52 fell below both the $0.64 forecast and $0.66 consensus, driven by a $55mm provision that ran well above expectations and reflected distillery exits, loan growth, and weakness across multiple relationships. Capital and balance-sheet flexibility are also under pressure, with CET1 down 48 bps q/q to 9.94%, TBV/share down 1% q/q to $26.05, and AOCI losses widening to $85mm, leaving the company more vulnerable to a prolonged small-business recession and higher credit costs.
This aggregate rating is based on analysts' research of Live Oak Bancshares and is not a guaranteed prediction by Public.com or investment advice.
LOB Analyst Forecast & Price Prediction
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LOB Analyst Forecast & Price Prediction
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