Mondelez (MDLZ) Stock Forecast & Price Target

Mondelez International has demonstrated resilient performance with organic sales growth of 3.4%, driven by an 8% increase in overall pricing, reflecting its ability to navigate cost pressures effectively. The company continues to outperform its peers, achieving over 4% growth year-to-date across various categories, while maintaining or gaining market share in 70% of its segments. Additionally, with expectations of high single-digit EPS growth in 2026 and approximately 40% of sales coming from emerging markets, Mondelez is well-positioned for sustained revenue growth and improved volume/mix dynamics in the years ahead.

Mondelez International's financial outlook appears negative due to a significant decline in gross and operating profit, with decreases of 20.5% and 32.6% respectively, alongside a substantial contraction in margins driven by rising cocoa costs. The company has revised its fiscal year 2025 earnings per share (EPS) forecast downward from $3.01 to $2.89, primarily due to decreased organic net revenue growth expectations and deteriorating consumer confidence in North America. Additionally, Mondelez has lowered its sales and profit guidance for 2025, now projecting only 4%+ organic sales growth and a 15% decline in constant currency EPS, reflecting broader challenges within key markets.