
PFS Stock Forecast & Price Target
PFS Analyst Ratings
Bulls say
Provident Finl Servs is currently managing high CRE concentration lower as needed like the roughly 430% CRE concentration ratio, diversifying with ~3% growth in C&I loans as capital-holdings tether 8.5% leverage ratio and 11.25% total RBC ratio; as growth continues EPS will jitter and NCOs should range 10-15bps eventually. Finally, the bank is sufficiently provisioned for elevated charge-off risk while deposits increased by 4.4% in 2025 with lowered costs and PFS trades at slight premium to average 1.3x P/TBV multiple; 1.4x forward assumes appropriate pricing.
Bears say
Provident Finl Servs is facing challenges that may weigh on investors, including a difficult growth trajectory and stagnant EPS growth due to flat NIM and credit normalizing. The company has a high CRE concentration ratio and capital constraints on growth, and while a flat NIM is expected in 2026, there is potential for modest expansion in 2027. With a current P/forward earnings multiple of just under 10x and a historical range of 7x to 14x, there is limited potential for alpha generation, leading to a negative outlook on the stock.
This aggregate rating is based on analysts' research of Provident Financial Services and is not a guaranteed prediction by Public.com or investment advice.
PFS Analyst Forecast & Price Prediction
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