SITE Stock Forecast & Price Target

SiteOne Landscape Supply Inc. demonstrates a robust financial outlook, with a projected EBITDA increase of 1% year-over-year, reaching $410 million in 2025, underscored by an improvement in EBITDA margins. Volume growth in the most recent quarter rose by 2%, and the company anticipates sustaining positive volumes throughout the year as it gains market share, guiding organic daily sales growth for the second half of the year at a low single-digit percentage year-over-year. Overall, organic daily sales growth for the fourth quarter is expected to be 2.5%, indicating a positive trajectory in revenue performance.

The financial outlook for SiteOne Landscape Supply indicates a potential slowdown, with expected revenue growth for FY'26E revised down to 0.5% from the previous estimate of 1%, largely influenced by a weaker residential construction forecast. The decline in grass seed pricing, anticipated to drop by approximately 10-20% year-over-year in the second half, has contributed significantly to subdued pricing across various categories, which may hinder overall revenue performance. Additionally, a marginal adjustment in the EBITDA guidance suggests a mid-point decrease to $410 million, which is below previous expectations and reflects a challenging pricing environment and stable competitive dynamics.