
Trex (TREX) Stock Forecast & Price Target
Trex (TREX) Analyst Ratings
Bulls say
Trex Co Inc reported an adjusted EBITDA guidance of $378-$385 million for the year, reflecting a 6% increase at the midpoint compared to the previous year. The company demonstrated strong sell-through performance to conclude the year, with a year-over-year revenue growth of 5%, supported by a strategic focus on inventory management that positions it well to increase free cash flow significantly by 2026. Additionally, Trex's initiatives in expanding related categories, such as railing and fasteners, further enhance its growth prospects and overall business performance.
Bears say
Trex Co Inc is faced with a challenging outlook as it projects a significant revenue decline of approximately 10-12% year-over-year for the first quarter of 2025, primarily attributed to reduced channel inventory builds and slowing sales. The company's guidance for first-quarter sales of $325 million to $330 million further reinforces concerns about stagnation in sales for the subsequent quarter, reflecting an inability to achieve sustained sales growth despite prior expectations. Additionally, heightened competition in the residential and commercial sectors, combined with impending depreciation from new processing operations, threatens to compress margins and exert further pressure on the company's financial performance.
This aggregate rating is based on analysts' research of Trex and is not a guaranteed prediction by Public.com or investment advice.
Trex (TREX) Analyst Forecast & Price Prediction
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