
Tractor Supply (TSCO) Stock Forecast & Price Target
Tractor Supply (TSCO) Analyst Ratings
Bulls say
Tractor Supply has demonstrated significant sales growth, with total sales per store increasing from approximately $4.5 million in 2019 to around $6.5 million, indicating a robust upward trajectory in retail performance. In fiscal 2024, revenue streams are diversifying, with livestock, equine & agriculture, companion animal, and seasonal & recreation segments collectively contributing a substantial portion of the company's total revenue, reflecting resilience and adaptability amid varying market conditions. Additionally, the company's recent quarterly performance highlighted a positive acceleration in comparable store sales, driven by improved seasonal sales, transaction increases, and stronger-than-expected big-ticket item performance, reinforcing a strong outlook for continued growth.
Bears say
Tractor Supply's financial outlook appears negative due to several key factors, including projected revenue growth rates of only 0%-4% amid operational challenges, with an expected operating margin contraction of approximately 20 basis points to 9.3%. In addition, the retail sales decline of 3.6% year-over-year in the building materials and supplies sector during the early part of 3Q25 raises concerns about potential sales and profitability headwinds for Tractor Supply. Furthermore, substantial interest rate increases pose a risk by potentially dampening housing turnover and consumer spending on home improvement, critical drivers for the company's revenue streams.
This aggregate rating is based on analysts' research of Tractor Supply and is not a guaranteed prediction by Public.com or investment advice.
Tractor Supply (TSCO) Analyst Forecast & Price Prediction
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