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Elections

How many votes will Jeffries get on the first Speaker ballot?

At least 24096¢96%
At least 24389¢89%
At least 24686¢86%
$63,358.74 Vol.

Event estimated to resolve on . These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.

About

If the number of votes cast for Hakeem Jeffries on the first roll call for Speaker of the House at the opening of the 120th Congress is at least 240 before Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. The first ballot is the first roll-call vote for Speaker at the opening of the 120th Congress. The count is the number of votes cast for Hakeem Jeffries on it, and 0 if no roll-call vote for Speaker is held before Feb 1, 2027. The following do NOT count: Votes cast for Hakeem Jeffries on a later ballot Votes recorded as Present or Not Voting, or cast for any other candidate The result is determined from the roll call record of the Clerk of the U.S. House of Representatives.

  • Full contract termsView
  • SourceClerk of the U.S. House of Representatives
  • Est. resolution date
  • Total event volume$63,358.74
  • Timeline

    The market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by .

    1. Event open
    2. Event closed
    3. Projected payout
  • Insider trading is prohibited

    The following are prohibited from trading this contract:

    • Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
    • Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
    • Any candidate currently listed as a market within this event.

Trade Yes contracts

ContractVolumePrice1D changeEst. probability
At least 240
$16.03K95¢0.00%
At least 249
$13.87K86¢-3.57%
At least 255
$10.69K61¢-4.69%
At least 243
$8.52K92¢-3.26%
At least 246
$6K91¢-2.27%
At least 252
$5.07K73¢-6.76%
At least 258
$3.48K28¢-6.67%
At least 261
$08¢-100.00%

Trade No contracts

ContractVolumePrice1D changeEst. probability
At least 240
$16.03K6¢0.00%
At least 249
$13.87K21¢+18.75%
At least 255
$10.69K44¢+8.33%
At least 243
$8.52K12¢+37.50%
At least 246
$6K16¢+16.67%
At least 252
$5.07K35¢+19.23%
At least 258
$3.48K78¢+2.86%
At least 261
$094¢+8.70%

FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Public shows live market-implied probabilities, contract prices, and trading volume for How many votes will Jeffries get on the first Speaker ballot?. The leading outcome is At least 240, with an estimated probability of 96% and a Yes contract price of $0.95. Odds can change as traders buy and sell event contracts.

On Public, you can buy and sell event contracts for How many votes will Jeffries get on the first Speaker ballot? by choosing from the available outcomes. Compare live odds, probabilities, prices, and trading volume before making a trade. You can manage prediction markets alongside stocks, options, bonds, and crypto on Public.

Each event contract represents an outcome for How many votes will Jeffries get on the first Speaker ballot?. On Public, you can take a Yes or No position based on whether you think that outcome will occur. Contract prices reflect market-implied probabilities and can change as the market trades.

The estimated resolution date for How many votes will Jeffries get on the first Speaker ballot? is Feb 1, 2027. The prediction market will resolve according to its contract terms using Clerk of the U.S. House of Representatives as the designated source. See the full contract terms on Public for the specific resolution criteria.

Yes. Public's AI Agents let you automate prediction market strategies using rules you define in plain English. Create an Agent to monitor the odds for How many votes will Jeffries get on the first Speaker ballot? and take supported actions when your conditions are met. Since prediction markets trade 24/7, your Agent can monitor opportunities around the clock. You can also connect Public to your preferred AI model through MCP, including ChatGPT, Claude, Perplexity, Grok, and Muse.

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  3. 3

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  4. 4

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Live odds on How many votes will Jeffries get on the first Speaker ballot?

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How many votes will Jeffries get on the first Speaker ballot?

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Event estimated to resolve on at 10:00AM. These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.


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