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Economic events

Explore live odds across economics prediction markets on Public. Track probabilities for Fed interest rate decisions, inflation, unemployment, GDP growth, and recessions. Buy and sell event contracts based on your economic outlook, or use AI Agents to automate macro prediction market strategies.

Trade economics prediction markets

Buy and sell event contracts tied to inflation, interest rates, jobs, GDP, and recessions on Public. Plus, create AI Agents for macro strategies.

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US real GDP growth in 2034?
| $61,030.88 Vol.
0.0% or Below
1.6% to 2.0%
0.6% to 1.0%
Will Hawaii visitor spending increase YoY in 2026?
| $59,556.14 Vol.
Above $21.7531 billion
US real GDP growth in 2027?
| $60,842.20 Vol.
2.1% to 2.5%
2.6% to 3.0%
1.6% to 2.0%
US gasoline inventories at the end of November
| $59,656.02 Vol.
Below 210 million barrels
Below 215 million barrels
Below 200 million barrels
CPI YoY in November (exact value)
| $68,616.30 Vol.
Exactly 3.2%
Exactly 3.8%
Exactly 3.9%
Will Pennsylvania natural-gas production rise YoY?
| $57,232.26 Vol.
Above 7.675792 trillion cubic feet
Will North Carolina pharmaceutical manufacturing jobs rise YoY?
| $56,982.92 Vol.
Above 26,500 jobs
Will Trump bring back manufacturing?
| $56,418.70 Vol.
Before 2029
Who will dissent at the December Fed meeting?
| $57,496.44 Vol.
Beth Hammack
Lorie Logan
Christopher Waller
Will Boise Airport set a new passenger record in 2026?
| $54,113.46 Vol.
Above 5,229,399 total passengers
Michael Saylor net worth on Dec 31, 2026
| $55,456.80 Vol.
At least $1.5 billion
At least $4.0 billion
At least $4.5 billion
Fed Funds (EFFR) at end of Q4 2026
| $52,956.04 Vol.
Above 4.00%
Above 4.25%
Above 4.50%
TM
2027 Toyota Sienna starting MSRP
| $53,707.24 Vol.
Above $41,000
Above $42,000
Above $41,500
US real GDP growth in 2029?
| $53,874.90 Vol.
2.1% to 2.5%
0.0% or Below
4.1% to 4.5%
Will Port of Baltimore container volume rise YoY?
| $52,030.90 Vol.
Above 1,113,309 TEUs
Will youth unemployment fall below 7.5% in 2026?
| $49,883.82 Vol.
Yes
US building permits for October
| $52,227.88 Vol.
Above 1.350M
Above 1.500M
Above 1.300M
Fed funds rate after Oct 2027 meeting?
| $49,237.30 Vol.
Above 4.50%
Above 4.25%
Above 4.75%

Showing 18 of 508 events.

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Trading event contracts involves significant risk and is not appropriate for all investors. Before investing, please read our Event Contracts Risk Disclosure and carefully consider your financial situation, investment objectives, and risk tolerance. Live data is for informational purposes only and may be delayed or incorrect. Timestamps are in UTC.


Event contracts offered by Open to the Public Investing, Inc. and Apex Clearing Corp. through KalshiEX LLC.

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Options.
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“Bonds” shall refer to corporate debt securities and U.S. government securities offered on the Public platform through a self-directed brokerage account held at Public Investing and custodied at Apex Clearing. For purposes of this section, Bonds exclude treasury securities held in treasury accounts with Jiko Securities, Inc. as explained under the “ Treasury Accounts” section.

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Treasury Accounts.
Investing services in treasury accounts offering 6 month US Treasury Bills on the Public platform are through Jiko Securities, Inc. (“JSI”), a registered broker-dealer and member of FINRA & SIPC. See JSI’s FINRA BrokerCheck and Form CRS for further information. JSI uses funds from your Treasury Account to purchase T-bills in increments of $100 “par value” (the T-bill’s value at maturity). T-bills are purchased at a discount to the par value and the T-bill’s yield represents the difference in price between the “par value” and the “discount price.” Aggregate funds in your Treasury Account in excess of the T-bill purchases will remain in your Treasury Account as cash. The value of T-bills fluctuate and investors may receive more or less than their original investments if sold prior to maturity. T-bills are subject to price change and availability - yield is subject to change. Past performance is not indicative of future performance. Investments in T-bills involve a variety of risks, including credit risk, interest rate risk, and liquidity risk. As a general rule, the price of a T-bills moves inversely to changes in interest rates. Although T-bills are considered safer than many other financial instruments, you could lose all or a part of your investment. See Jiko U.S. Treasuries Risk Disclosures for further details.

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