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Economic events

Explore live odds across economics prediction markets on Public. Track probabilities for Fed interest rate decisions, inflation, unemployment, GDP growth, and recessions. Buy and sell event contracts based on your economic outlook, or use AI Agents to automate macro prediction market strategies.

Trade economics prediction markets

Buy and sell event contracts tied to inflation, interest rates, jobs, GDP, and recessions on Public. Plus, create AI Agents for macro strategies.

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Central Bank of Brazil rate decision in December
| $3,618.80 Vol.
Maintain current rate
Cut 1-25bps
Cut more than 25bps
Will the U.S. announce a new SPR release before 2027?
| $2,385.00 Vol.
New SPR release announced?
Total Fed dissents in 2026
$8,040.64 Vol.
Exactly 9
Exactly 10
Exactly 12
US Leading Economic Index change in October
| $10,815.70 Vol.
Above -0.2%
Above -0.1%
Above 0.0%
Fed funds rate at end of 2033
| $8,924.96 Vol.
Above 3.50%
Above 3.00%
Above 2.75%
US manufacturing construction spending in December 2026
| $8,250.36 Vol.
Above $160 billion
Above $170 billion
Above $180 billion
US corn yield in the January 2027 USDA report
| $3,920.56 Vol.
Below 181.2 bu/acre
Above 181.2 bu/acre
Exactly 181.2 bu/acre
I bond fixed rate in May of 2027
| $2,069.20 Vol.
Above 2.0%
Above 1.8%
Above 1.0%
Brazil GDP growth YoY in Q3 2026
| $8,388.06 Vol.
Above 1.0%
Above 1.1%
Above 1.4%
Sweden rate decision in December
| $3,315.04 Vol.
Maintain current rate
Hike 1-25bps
Hike more than 25bps
Brazil unemployment rate in October
| $3,602.00 Vol.
Above 5.0%
Above 5.1%
Above 5.2%
Canadian counter-tariff rate on U.S. electric trucks at the end of 2026
| $2,674.32 Vol.
Above 20%
Above 40%
Above 30%
US unemployment rate at year-end 2028
| $4,915.92 Vol.
Above 6.0%
Above 9.0%
Above 9.5%
Norway rate decision in December
| $800.00 Vol.
Hike 1-25bps
Cut more than 25bps
Maintain current rate
Fed funds rate after Jan 2028 meeting?
| $432.00 Vol.
Above 0.25%
Above 3.50%
Above 3.25%
SOFR for November 12, 2026
| $0.00 Vol.
Exactly 3.93%
Exactly 3.90%
Exactly 3.92%
Brazil inflation rate in November
| $0.00 Vol.
Above 4.90%
Above 4.60%
Above 4.70%
Tech layoff rate in October
| $801.56 Vol.
Above 1.0%
Above 1.2%
Above 1.6%

Showing 18 of 508 events.

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Trading event contracts involves significant risk and is not appropriate for all investors. Before investing, please read our Event Contracts Risk Disclosure and carefully consider your financial situation, investment objectives, and risk tolerance. Live data is for informational purposes only and may be delayed or incorrect. Timestamps are in UTC.


Event contracts offered by Open to the Public Investing, Inc. and Apex Clearing Corp. through KalshiEX LLC.

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