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Economic events

Explore live odds across economics prediction markets on Public. Track probabilities for Fed interest rate decisions, inflation, unemployment, GDP growth, and recessions. Buy and sell event contracts based on your economic outlook, or use AI Agents to automate macro prediction market strategies.

Trade economics prediction markets

Buy and sell event contracts tied to inflation, interest rates, jobs, GDP, and recessions on Public. Plus, create AI Agents for macro strategies.

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Taiwan rate decision in December
| $113.26 Vol.
Maintain current rate
Hike 1-12.5bps
Hike more than 12.5bps
US crude oil inventories for the week ending November 13, 2026
| $6.00 Vol.
Above 418 million barrels
Above 419 million barrels
Above 413 million barrels
US hourly earnings growth in November
| $0.00 Vol.
Above 0.6%
Above 0.0%
Above 0.3%
US defaults before 2030?
| $14.84 Vol.
Defaults
Philippines rate decision in December
| $1,540.00 Vol.
Cut 1-25bps
Cut more than 25bps
Hike 1-25bps
Fed funds rate at end of 2030
| $8,510.88 Vol.
Above 4.25%
Above 4.00%
Above 3.75%
How high will the 30-year mortgage rate get in 2027?
| $11,051.06 Vol.
Above 8.25%
Above 8.75%
Above 9.50%
Fed funds rate at end of 2035
| $4,977.08 Vol.
Above 2.50%
Above 1.50%
Above 5.75%
South Africa retail sales in September
| $332.80 Vol.
Above -1.5%
Above 0.5%
Above 1.0%
Texas ERCOT peak electricity demand on Nov 13, 2026
| $22.00 Vol.
Above 52,500 MW
Above 51,000 MW
Above 55,000 MW
HMC
2027 Honda Accord starting MSRP
| $599.48 Vol.
Above $28,500
Above $29,000
Above $31,000
US unemployment rate at year-end 2033
| $0.00 Vol.
Above 8.0%
Above 7.5%
Above 8.5%
US trade deficit for 2027
| $0.00 Vol.
Above $700 billion
Above $600 billion
Above $1.2 trillion
Fed funds rate at end of 2034
| $4,332.60 Vol.
Above 3.00%
Above 3.50%
Above 3.25%
US unemployment rate at year-end 2032
| $369.52 Vol.
Above 6.0%
Above 5.5%
Above 9.5%
Taco Bell Crunchwrap Supreme price in November
| $2,409.82 Vol.
At least $6.72
At least $6.73
At least $6.74
Italy’s government budget balance in 2026
| $506.34 Vol.
Above -3.5% of GDP
Above -3.0% of GDP
Above -2.5% of GDP
Will Mexico resume oil exports to Cuba?
$2,792.68 Vol.
Before December 1, 2026

Showing 18 of 508 events.

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Trading event contracts involves significant risk and is not appropriate for all investors. Before investing, please read our Event Contracts Risk Disclosure and carefully consider your financial situation, investment objectives, and risk tolerance. Live data is for informational purposes only and may be delayed or incorrect. Timestamps are in UTC.


Event contracts offered by Open to the Public Investing, Inc. and Apex Clearing Corp. through KalshiEX LLC.

Check the background of this firm on FINRA’s BrokerCheck.

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Stocks, ETFs, Options, Bonds.
Self-directed brokerage accounts and brokerage services for US-listed, registered securities, options, and Bonds, except for treasury securities offered through Jiko Securities, Inc., are offered to self-directed customers by Open to the Public Investing, Inc. (“Public Investing”), a registered broker-dealer and member of FINRA & SIPC. Additional information about your broker can be found by clicking here. Public Investing is a wholly-owned subsidiary of Public Holdings, Inc. (“Public Holdings”). This is not an offer, solicitation of an offer, or advice to buy or sell securities or open a brokerage account in any jurisdiction where Public Investing is not registered. Securities products offered by Public Investing are not FDIC insured. Apex Clearing Corporation, our clearing firm, has additional insurance coverage in excess of the regular SIPC limits. Additional information can be found here.

Options.
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Bonds.
“Bonds” shall refer to corporate debt securities and U.S. government securities offered on the Public platform through a self-directed brokerage account held at Public Investing and custodied at Apex Clearing. For purposes of this section, Bonds exclude treasury securities held in treasury accounts with Jiko Securities, Inc. as explained under the “ Treasury Accounts” section.

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Cryptocurrency.
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Treasury Accounts.
Investing services in treasury accounts offering 6 month US Treasury Bills on the Public platform are through Jiko Securities, Inc. (“JSI”), a registered broker-dealer and member of FINRA & SIPC. See JSI’s FINRA BrokerCheck and Form CRS for further information. JSI uses funds from your Treasury Account to purchase T-bills in increments of $100 “par value” (the T-bill’s value at maturity). T-bills are purchased at a discount to the par value and the T-bill’s yield represents the difference in price between the “par value” and the “discount price.” Aggregate funds in your Treasury Account in excess of the T-bill purchases will remain in your Treasury Account as cash. The value of T-bills fluctuate and investors may receive more or less than their original investments if sold prior to maturity. T-bills are subject to price change and availability - yield is subject to change. Past performance is not indicative of future performance. Investments in T-bills involve a variety of risks, including credit risk, interest rate risk, and liquidity risk. As a general rule, the price of a T-bills moves inversely to changes in interest rates. Although T-bills are considered safer than many other financial instruments, you could lose all or a part of your investment. See Jiko U.S. Treasuries Risk Disclosures for further details.

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Alpha.
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