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Economic events

Explore live odds across economics prediction markets on Public. Track probabilities for Fed interest rate decisions, inflation, unemployment, GDP growth, and recessions. Buy and sell event contracts based on your economic outlook, or use AI Agents to automate macro prediction market strategies.

Trade economics prediction markets

Buy and sell event contracts tied to inflation, interest rates, jobs, GDP, and recessions on Public. Plus, create AI Agents for macro strategies.

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US nominal GDP growth in 2032
| $0.00 Vol.
Above 0.0%
Above 4.0%
Above 2.5%
US software developer unemployment in 2027
| $0.00 Vol.
Above 6.0%
Above 3.0%
Above 4.0%
US labor force participation rate at year-end 2027
| $1,696.00 Vol.
Above 56.00%
Above 57.50%
Above 58.50%
Chicken wing · Average US wholesale price in November
| $2,849.54 Vol.
Above 100¢ per pound
Above 105¢ per pound
Above 110¢ per pound
US nominal GDP growth in 2027
| $202.10 Vol.
Above 4.0%
Above 1.5%
Above 3.5%
Fed funds rate at end of 2032
| $4,418.22 Vol.
Above 3.25%
Above 1.00%
Above 4.00%
US labor force participation rate at year-end 2032
| $1,650.00 Vol.
Above 58.00%
Above 57.50%
Above 63.00%
Total Fed dissents in 2027
| $100.08 Vol.
13+
Exactly 2
Exactly 7
Argentina inflation rate MoM for November
| $0.00 Vol.
Above 1.8%
Above 3.0%
Above 1.4%
US active housing listings in November
| $20.00 Vol.
Above 1,250,000 listings
Above 1,150,000 listings
Above 1,225,000 listings
US trade deficit for 2030
| $0.00 Vol.
Above $900 billion
Above $1.2 trillion
Above $700 billion
Headline PCE inflation in October
| $1,212.72 Vol.
Above 0.2%
Above 0.4%
Above 0.3%
US existing home sales for November
| $1,400.00 Vol.
Above 3.60M
Above 3.70M
Above 3.80M
US jobs revisions in the report covering November 2026
| $0.00 Vol.
Above -100,000
Above 100,000
Above 0
Will Delaware franchise-tax revenue exceed its FY2027 forecast?
| $200.00 Vol.
Above $1.344 billion
Chipotle Chicken Burrito price in November
| $1,931.90 Vol.
At least $9.87
At least $9.88
At least $9.89
Fed funds rate at end of 2028
| $8,251.16 Vol.
Above 2.75%
Above 3.00%
Above 4.00%
Will U.S. GivingTuesday donations set a new record in 2026?
| $9.88 Vol.
GivingTuesday Record Broken

Showing 18 of 508 events.

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Trading event contracts involves significant risk and is not appropriate for all investors. Before investing, please read our Event Contracts Risk Disclosure and carefully consider your financial situation, investment objectives, and risk tolerance. Live data is for informational purposes only and may be delayed or incorrect. Timestamps are in UTC.


Event contracts offered by Open to the Public Investing, Inc. and Apex Clearing Corp. through KalshiEX LLC.

Check the background of this firm on FINRA’s BrokerCheck.

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Self-directed brokerage accounts and brokerage services for US-listed, registered securities, options, and Bonds, except for treasury securities offered through Jiko Securities, Inc., are offered to self-directed customers by Open to the Public Investing, Inc. (“Public Investing”), a registered broker-dealer and member of FINRA & SIPC. Additional information about your broker can be found by clicking here. Public Investing is a wholly-owned subsidiary of Public Holdings, Inc. (“Public Holdings”). This is not an offer, solicitation of an offer, or advice to buy or sell securities or open a brokerage account in any jurisdiction where Public Investing is not registered. Securities products offered by Public Investing are not FDIC insured. Apex Clearing Corporation, our clearing firm, has additional insurance coverage in excess of the regular SIPC limits. Additional information can be found here.

Options.
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Bonds.
“Bonds” shall refer to corporate debt securities and U.S. government securities offered on the Public platform through a self-directed brokerage account held at Public Investing and custodied at Apex Clearing. For purposes of this section, Bonds exclude treasury securities held in treasury accounts with Jiko Securities, Inc. as explained under the “ Treasury Accounts” section.

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Cryptocurrency.
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Treasury Accounts.
Investing services in treasury accounts offering 6 month US Treasury Bills on the Public platform are through Jiko Securities, Inc. (“JSI”), a registered broker-dealer and member of FINRA & SIPC. See JSI’s FINRA BrokerCheck and Form CRS for further information. JSI uses funds from your Treasury Account to purchase T-bills in increments of $100 “par value” (the T-bill’s value at maturity). T-bills are purchased at a discount to the par value and the T-bill’s yield represents the difference in price between the “par value” and the “discount price.” Aggregate funds in your Treasury Account in excess of the T-bill purchases will remain in your Treasury Account as cash. The value of T-bills fluctuate and investors may receive more or less than their original investments if sold prior to maturity. T-bills are subject to price change and availability - yield is subject to change. Past performance is not indicative of future performance. Investments in T-bills involve a variety of risks, including credit risk, interest rate risk, and liquidity risk. As a general rule, the price of a T-bills moves inversely to changes in interest rates. Although T-bills are considered safer than many other financial instruments, you could lose all or a part of your investment. See Jiko U.S. Treasuries Risk Disclosures for further details.

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Alpha.
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