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Economic events

Explore live odds across economics prediction markets on Public. Track probabilities for Fed interest rate decisions, inflation, unemployment, GDP growth, and recessions. Buy and sell event contracts based on your economic outlook, or use AI Agents to automate macro prediction market strategies.

Trade economics prediction markets

Buy and sell event contracts tied to inflation, interest rates, jobs, GDP, and recessions on Public. Plus, create AI Agents for macro strategies.

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November 2026 CPI MoM Combo · Headline & Core
| $1,480.00 Vol.
Headline: 0.1% or below, Core: Exactly 0.2%
Headline: 0.1% or below, Core: Exactly 0.3%
Headline: 0.1% or below, Core: 0.1% or below
Cyber Monday · 2026 US online spend
| $536.00 Vol.
Above $15.5B
Above $15.0B
Above $14.5B
Core CPI in December (exact value)
| $3,992.00 Vol.
Exactly 0.2%
Exactly 0.3%
Exactly 0.1%
US trade deficit for 2031
| $4.00 Vol.
Above $600 billion
Above $800 billion
Above $1.2 trillion
US electricity price in November
| $0.00 Vol.
Above 18.4¢
Above 19.0¢
Above 19.4¢
30-year mortgage rate at the end of 2026
| $724.74 Vol.
Above 7.50%
Above 7.75%
Above 8.00%
US headline CPI inflation in December 2035
| $3,310.84 Vol.
Above 2.0%
Above 2.5%
Above 3.5%
US job openings in October
| $0.00 Vol.
Above 7.40M
Above 7.45M
Above 7.35M
Will AI be the #1 reason for job cuts in November?
| $0.00 Vol.
AI #1?
Global remittance cost at the end of 2027
| $0.00 Vol.
Above 6.25%
Above 5.00%
Above 6.00%
US unemployment rate at year-end 2035
| $0.00 Vol.
Above 5.5%
Above 3.5%
Above 3.0%
US nominal GDP growth in 2036
| $1,209.08 Vol.
Above 4.5%
Above 4.0%
Above 5.5%
CPI in December (exact value)
| $1,290.00 Vol.
Exactly 0.3%
Exactly 0.0%
Exactly 0.1%
USD share of Swift international payments in December 2026
| $802.52 Vol.
Above 59.0%
Above 58.5%
Above 60.0%
Loudoun Water data center potable water use in Q1 2027
| $68.24 Vol.
Above 200 million gallons
Above 300 million gallons
Above 350 million gallons
US Challenger job cuts in November
| $2.00 Vol.
Above 80,000
Above 90,000
Above 30,000
US unemployment rate at year-end 2034
| $0.00 Vol.
Above 3.0%
Above 9.0%
Above 9.5%

Showing 18 of 508 events.

Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.


Trading event contracts involves significant risk and is not appropriate for all investors. Before investing, please read our Event Contracts Risk Disclosure and carefully consider your financial situation, investment objectives, and risk tolerance. Live data is for informational purposes only and may be delayed or incorrect. Timestamps are in UTC.


Event contracts offered by Open to the Public Investing, Inc. and Apex Clearing Corp. through KalshiEX LLC.

Check the background of this firm on FINRA’s BrokerCheck.

Open to the Public Investing, Inc. Customer Relationship Summary

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Self-directed brokerage accounts and brokerage services for US-listed, registered securities, options, and Bonds, except for treasury securities offered through Jiko Securities, Inc., are offered to self-directed customers by Open to the Public Investing, Inc. (“Public Investing”), a registered broker-dealer and member of FINRA & SIPC. Additional information about your broker can be found by clicking here. Public Investing is a wholly-owned subsidiary of Public Holdings, Inc. (“Public Holdings”). This is not an offer, solicitation of an offer, or advice to buy or sell securities or open a brokerage account in any jurisdiction where Public Investing is not registered. Securities products offered by Public Investing are not FDIC insured. Apex Clearing Corporation, our clearing firm, has additional insurance coverage in excess of the regular SIPC limits. Additional information can be found here.

Options.
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Cryptocurrency.
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Treasury Accounts.
Investing services in treasury accounts offering 6 month US Treasury Bills on the Public platform are through Jiko Securities, Inc. (“JSI”), a registered broker-dealer and member of FINRA & SIPC. See JSI’s FINRA BrokerCheck and Form CRS for further information. JSI uses funds from your Treasury Account to purchase T-bills in increments of $100 “par value” (the T-bill’s value at maturity). T-bills are purchased at a discount to the par value and the T-bill’s yield represents the difference in price between the “par value” and the “discount price.” Aggregate funds in your Treasury Account in excess of the T-bill purchases will remain in your Treasury Account as cash. The value of T-bills fluctuate and investors may receive more or less than their original investments if sold prior to maturity. T-bills are subject to price change and availability - yield is subject to change. Past performance is not indicative of future performance. Investments in T-bills involve a variety of risks, including credit risk, interest rate risk, and liquidity risk. As a general rule, the price of a T-bills moves inversely to changes in interest rates. Although T-bills are considered safer than many other financial instruments, you could lose all or a part of your investment. See Jiko U.S. Treasuries Risk Disclosures for further details.

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