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Economic events

Explore live odds across economics prediction markets on Public. Track probabilities for Fed interest rate decisions, inflation, unemployment, GDP growth, and recessions. Buy and sell event contracts based on your economic outlook, or use AI Agents to automate macro prediction market strategies.

Trade economics prediction markets

Buy and sell event contracts tied to inflation, interest rates, jobs, GDP, and recessions on Public. Plus, create AI Agents for macro strategies.

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Texas gas prices in Nov 2026
| $2,611.10 Vol.
Above 3.0500
Above 3.1500
Above 3.2000
US new home · Median sales price in October
| $4,499.34 Vol.
Above $390,000
Above $395,000
Above $400,000
Will New Mexico crude oil production rise YoY?
| $1,175.16 Vol.
Above 819.225 million barrels
US nominal GDP growth in 2034
| $80.84 Vol.
Above 4.5%
Above 3.5%
Above 5.0%
US unemployment rate at year-end 2036
| $26.00 Vol.
Above 3.5%
Above 5.5%
Above 7.5%
Chicago Fed National Financial Conditions Index in November
| $1,552.00 Vol.
Above -0.48
Above -0.46
Above -0.44
US trade deficit for 2032
| $6.00 Vol.
Above $800 billion
Above $500 billion
Above $1.2 trillion
When will the US cut the 50% aluminum tariff on Canada?
$4.00 Vol.
Before Apr 1, 2027
Before Jul 1, 2027
Before Jan 1, 2027
Continuing jobless claims for the week ending November 7, 2026
| $0.00 Vol.
At least 1670K
At least 1660K
At least 1650K
US turkey slaughter in November 2026
| $0.00 Vol.
Above 14 million
Above 17 million
Above 15 million
South Africa balance of trade for October
| $24.00 Vol.
Above ZAR0.00B
Above ZAR4.00B
Above ZAR12.00B
US nominal GDP growth in 2030
| $0.20 Vol.
Above 0.5%
Above 3.5%
Above 6.0%
Will the Fed publish a dot plot in December?
| $272.98 Vol.
In December 2026
Median Big Law starting salary in 2027
| $1,627.48 Vol.
Above $230,000
Above $240,000
Above $245,000
US employer health insurance cost growth (YoY) · September 2027
| $0.00 Vol.
Above 5%
Above 9%
Above 4%
US private data center construction spending in October
| $634.42 Vol.
Above $105.0B
Above $107.5B
Above $112.5B
Temporary-help employment in November
| $17.36 Vol.
Above 2.520 million
Above 2.480 million
Above 2.500 million
US headline CPI inflation in December 2033
| $1,820.08 Vol.
Above 1.5%
Above 2.0%
Above 2.5%

Showing 18 of 508 events.

Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.


Trading event contracts involves significant risk and is not appropriate for all investors. Before investing, please read our Event Contracts Risk Disclosure and carefully consider your financial situation, investment objectives, and risk tolerance. Live data is for informational purposes only and may be delayed or incorrect. Timestamps are in UTC.


Event contracts offered by Open to the Public Investing, Inc. and Apex Clearing Corp. through KalshiEX LLC.

Check the background of this firm on FINRA’s BrokerCheck.

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Self-directed brokerage accounts and brokerage services for US-listed, registered securities, options, and Bonds, except for treasury securities offered through Jiko Securities, Inc., are offered to self-directed customers by Open to the Public Investing, Inc. (“Public Investing”), a registered broker-dealer and member of FINRA & SIPC. Additional information about your broker can be found by clicking here. Public Investing is a wholly-owned subsidiary of Public Holdings, Inc. (“Public Holdings”). This is not an offer, solicitation of an offer, or advice to buy or sell securities or open a brokerage account in any jurisdiction where Public Investing is not registered. Securities products offered by Public Investing are not FDIC insured. Apex Clearing Corporation, our clearing firm, has additional insurance coverage in excess of the regular SIPC limits. Additional information can be found here.

Options.
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“Bonds” shall refer to corporate debt securities and U.S. government securities offered on the Public platform through a self-directed brokerage account held at Public Investing and custodied at Apex Clearing. For purposes of this section, Bonds exclude treasury securities held in treasury accounts with Jiko Securities, Inc. as explained under the “ Treasury Accounts” section.

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Cryptocurrency.
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Treasury Accounts.
Investing services in treasury accounts offering 6 month US Treasury Bills on the Public platform are through Jiko Securities, Inc. (“JSI”), a registered broker-dealer and member of FINRA & SIPC. See JSI’s FINRA BrokerCheck and Form CRS for further information. JSI uses funds from your Treasury Account to purchase T-bills in increments of $100 “par value” (the T-bill’s value at maturity). T-bills are purchased at a discount to the par value and the T-bill’s yield represents the difference in price between the “par value” and the “discount price.” Aggregate funds in your Treasury Account in excess of the T-bill purchases will remain in your Treasury Account as cash. The value of T-bills fluctuate and investors may receive more or less than their original investments if sold prior to maturity. T-bills are subject to price change and availability - yield is subject to change. Past performance is not indicative of future performance. Investments in T-bills involve a variety of risks, including credit risk, interest rate risk, and liquidity risk. As a general rule, the price of a T-bills moves inversely to changes in interest rates. Although T-bills are considered safer than many other financial instruments, you could lose all or a part of your investment. See Jiko U.S. Treasuries Risk Disclosures for further details.

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Alpha.
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