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Economic events

Explore live odds across economics prediction markets on Public. Track probabilities for Fed interest rate decisions, inflation, unemployment, GDP growth, and recessions. Buy and sell event contracts based on your economic outlook, or use AI Agents to automate macro prediction market strategies.

Trade economics prediction markets

Buy and sell event contracts tied to inflation, interest rates, jobs, GDP, and recessions on Public. Plus, create AI Agents for macro strategies.

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US labor force participation rate at year-end 2036
| $774.08 Vol.
Above 58.00%
Above 58.50%
Above 60.50%
Will Colorado ski-area visits increase YoY during 2026–27?
| $397.16 Vol.
Above 10.5 million skier visits
Chick-fil-A Chicken Sandwich price in November
| $3,450.18 Vol.
At least $5.40
At least $5.42
At least $5.41
US ISM Services PMI for November
| $20.00 Vol.
Above 53.20
Above 55.20
Above 56.00
US nominal GDP growth in 2031
| $0.00 Vol.
Above 2.5%
Above 1.0%
Above 0.0%
Reserve Bank of Australia rate decision in December
| $1,344.32 Vol.
Maintain current rate
Hike 1-25bps
Cut more than 25bps
Auto-loan delinquencies in Q4 2026
| $0.00 Vol.
Above 5.2%
Above 6.4%
Above 6.6%
30-year mortgage rate this week
| $1,762.30 Vol.
Above 7.16%
Above 7.17%
Above 7.14%
US headline CPI inflation in December 2036
| $3,423.24 Vol.
Above 4.0%
Above 2.0%
Above 3.0%
Georgia film and television production spending in FY2027
| $459.78 Vol.
Above $1.5 billion
Above $2.0 billion
Above $3.0 billion
US mortgage applications change in the next MBA report
| $0.00 Vol.
Above -8%
Above 10%
Above -2%
Germany unemployment rate in November
| $2,830.02 Vol.
Above 6.0%
Above 6.4%
Above 6.3%
Will Connecticut’s minimum wage exceed $18.00 per hour on January 1, 2028?
| $400.00 Vol.
Above $18.00 per hour
Initial jobless claims for the week ending November 14, 2026
| $638.00 Vol.
At least 190,000
At least 195,000
At least 200,000
UC tuition for 2027–28
| $1,584.98 Vol.
Above $16,100
Above $16,200
Above $16,300
US labor force participation rate at year-end 2034
| $988.08 Vol.
Above 56.50%
Above 57.50%
Above 58.50%
South Korea exports YoY for November
| $1,784.00 Vol.
Above 80.0%
Above 85.0%
Above 90.0%
US employer health insurance cost growth in Q4 2026
| $44.54 Vol.
Above 4.5%
Above 6.0%
Above 5.5%

Showing 18 of 508 events.

Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.


Trading event contracts involves significant risk and is not appropriate for all investors. Before investing, please read our Event Contracts Risk Disclosure and carefully consider your financial situation, investment objectives, and risk tolerance. Live data is for informational purposes only and may be delayed or incorrect. Timestamps are in UTC.


Event contracts offered by Open to the Public Investing, Inc. and Apex Clearing Corp. through KalshiEX LLC.

Check the background of this firm on FINRA’s BrokerCheck.

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Self-directed brokerage accounts and brokerage services for US-listed, registered securities, options, and Bonds, except for treasury securities offered through Jiko Securities, Inc., are offered to self-directed customers by Open to the Public Investing, Inc. (“Public Investing”), a registered broker-dealer and member of FINRA & SIPC. Additional information about your broker can be found by clicking here. Public Investing is a wholly-owned subsidiary of Public Holdings, Inc. (“Public Holdings”). This is not an offer, solicitation of an offer, or advice to buy or sell securities or open a brokerage account in any jurisdiction where Public Investing is not registered. Securities products offered by Public Investing are not FDIC insured. Apex Clearing Corporation, our clearing firm, has additional insurance coverage in excess of the regular SIPC limits. Additional information can be found here.

Options.
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“Bonds” shall refer to corporate debt securities and U.S. government securities offered on the Public platform through a self-directed brokerage account held at Public Investing and custodied at Apex Clearing. For purposes of this section, Bonds exclude treasury securities held in treasury accounts with Jiko Securities, Inc. as explained under the “ Treasury Accounts” section.

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Cryptocurrency.
Cryptocurrency trading, execution and custody services are provided by Zero Hash LLC (“Zero Hash”). Zero Hash is licensed to engage in a virtual currency business by the New York State Department of Financial Services, and is a licensed money transmitter in all other US states and certain US territories. Zero Hash is not a registered broker-dealer or a member of FINRA. Cryptocurrencies are not stocks and your cryptocurrency investments are not FDIC insured or SIPC protected.

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Treasury Accounts.
Investing services in treasury accounts offering 6 month US Treasury Bills on the Public platform are through Jiko Securities, Inc. (“JSI”), a registered broker-dealer and member of FINRA & SIPC. See JSI’s FINRA BrokerCheck and Form CRS for further information. JSI uses funds from your Treasury Account to purchase T-bills in increments of $100 “par value” (the T-bill’s value at maturity). T-bills are purchased at a discount to the par value and the T-bill’s yield represents the difference in price between the “par value” and the “discount price.” Aggregate funds in your Treasury Account in excess of the T-bill purchases will remain in your Treasury Account as cash. The value of T-bills fluctuate and investors may receive more or less than their original investments if sold prior to maturity. T-bills are subject to price change and availability - yield is subject to change. Past performance is not indicative of future performance. Investments in T-bills involve a variety of risks, including credit risk, interest rate risk, and liquidity risk. As a general rule, the price of a T-bills moves inversely to changes in interest rates. Although T-bills are considered safer than many other financial instruments, you could lose all or a part of your investment. See Jiko U.S. Treasuries Risk Disclosures for further details.

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Alpha.
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