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Economic events

Explore live odds across economics prediction markets on Public. Track probabilities for Fed interest rate decisions, inflation, unemployment, GDP growth, and recessions. Buy and sell event contracts based on your economic outlook, or use AI Agents to automate macro prediction market strategies.

Trade economics prediction markets

Buy and sell event contracts tied to inflation, interest rates, jobs, GDP, and recessions on Public. Plus, create AI Agents for macro strategies.

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US crude oil exports in November
| $38,944.18 Vol.
Above 4.0 million barrels/day
Above 4.5 million barrels/day
Above 5.0 million barrels/day
Will unemployment in Brazil be below 5.8% in Q4 2026?
| $38,518.56 Vol.
Below 5.8%
How many government employees will Trump cut?
| $40,665.44 Vol.
More than 200,000
More than 150,000
More than 100,000
Size of Fed balance sheet at end of 2026
| $43,810.36 Vol.
Above $6.5 trillion
Above $6.8 trillion
Above $6.9 trillion
Reserve Bank of India rate decision in December
| $38,727.58 Vol.
Hike 1-25bps
Maintain current rate
Cut more than 25bps
France Nominal GDP in 2026
| $39,208.08 Vol.
Above $3.5 trillion
Above $3.6 trillion
Above $3.7 trillion
Will Mississippi catfish production rise YoY?
| $36,926.50 Vol.
Above 194.3 million pounds
Will Nebraska cattle on feed rise YoY?
| $35,429.34 Vol.
Above 2.67 million head
Will Indiana corn yield exceed 205 bushels per acre in 2027?
| $34,501.80 Vol.
Above 205 bu/acre
US real GDP growth in 2031?
| $47,242.26 Vol.
1.6% to 2.0%
3.6% to 4.0%
1.1% to 1.5%
US headline CPI inflation in December 2029
| $39,544.58 Vol.
Above 2.0%
Above 2.5%
Above 3.5%
US solar capacity installed in​ 2026
| $37,275.60 Vol.
At least 45 GWdc
At least 50 GWdc
At least 55 GWdc
Will Trump reduce inequality in the US?
| $33,577.76 Vol.
During his presidential term
China unemployment rate in October
| $41,317.90 Vol.
Above 5.0%
Above 5.1%
Above 5.3%
Will Louisiana oil & gas extraction jobs rise YoY?
| $32,422.56 Vol.
Above 5,100 jobs
How many dissenting votes at the December Fed meeting?
| $36,019.00 Vol.
0
1
2
UK retail sales in October
| $36,450.94 Vol.
Above 0.0%
Above 0.5%
Above 1.0%
Will New Hampshire alpine skier visits rise YoY?
| $31,264.64 Vol.
Above 2,283,539 visits

Showing 18 of 508 events.

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Trading event contracts involves significant risk and is not appropriate for all investors. Before investing, please read our Event Contracts Risk Disclosure and carefully consider your financial situation, investment objectives, and risk tolerance. Live data is for informational purposes only and may be delayed or incorrect. Timestamps are in UTC.


Event contracts offered by Open to the Public Investing, Inc. and Apex Clearing Corp. through KalshiEX LLC.

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