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Will Schumer, Jeffries and Thune all be reelected leaders?

Yes80¢80%
No20¢20%
$62,269.76 Vol.

Event estimated to resolve on . These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.

About

If Chuck Schumer, Hakeem Jeffries and John Thune are each elected by their party caucus or conference as its leader in their chamber for the 120th Congress after Issuance and before Jan 15, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. This must be confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency before Jan 15, 2027. All three of the following must happen for the market to resolve to Yes: The Senate Democratic Caucus elects Chuck Schumer as its leader for the 120th Congress, whether the post is styled Democratic Leader or Majority Leader The House Democratic Caucus elects Hakeem Jeffries as its leader for the 120th Congress, whether the post is styled Democratic Leader or the caucus's nominee for Speaker The Senate Republican Conference elects John Thune as its leader for the 120th Congress, whether the post is styled Republican Leader or Minority Leader An election by ballot, voice vote or acclamation counts. The three elections may happen on different dates; each must happen after Issuance and before Jan 15, 2027. The market resolves to No as soon as a Source Agency reports that the Senate Democratic Caucus, the House Democratic Caucus or the Senate Republican Conference has elected someone other than Chuck Schumer, Hakeem Jeffries or John Thune, respectively, as its leader for the 120th Congress. The following do NOT count: The House floor vote for Speaker; only the House Democratic Caucus's own leadership election counts for Hakeem Jeffries Election to any other post, such as whip A report before an election that a leader is expected to win, is unopposed or has the votes

  • Full contract termsView
  • SourceABC, Axios, Bloomberg News, CBS, CNN, Fox News, MSNBC, NBC, Politico, Reuters, Semafor, The Information, The Wall Street Journal, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, the New York Times
  • Est. resolution date
  • Total event volume$62,269.76
  • Timeline

    The market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by .

    1. Event open
    2. Event closed
    3. Projected payout
  • Insider trading is prohibited

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    • Current players, coaches, and staff of the league, association, or organization(s) governing the event. For college leagues/associations specifically, or where otherwise appropriate (as identified by the Exchange), this applies to current players/coaches/staff of the specific sport in <event> rather than the league/association as a whole (e.g., if the Division I Gonzaga Men’s Basketball Team is playing in <event>, this prohibition will restrict trades by current players/coaches/staff on NCAA Basketball, rather than all current players/coaches/staff in any NCAA sport).
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Trade Yes and No contracts

  • Yes
    Volume$62,269.76
    Price83¢
    -2.44% today
  • No
    Volume$62,269.76
    Price20¢
    +11.11% today

FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Public shows live market-implied probabilities, contract prices, and trading volume for Will Schumer, Jeffries and Thune all be reelected leaders?. The outcome is Yes, with an estimated probability of 80% and a Yes contract price of $0.83. Odds can change as traders buy and sell event contracts.

On Public, you can buy and sell event contracts for Will Schumer, Jeffries and Thune all be reelected leaders? by choosing from the available outcomes. Compare live odds, probabilities, prices, and trading volume before making a trade. You can manage prediction markets alongside stocks, options, bonds, and crypto on Public.

Each event contract represents an outcome for Will Schumer, Jeffries and Thune all be reelected leaders?. On Public, you can take a Yes or No position based on whether you think that outcome will occur. Contract prices reflect market-implied probabilities and can change as the market trades.

The estimated resolution date for Will Schumer, Jeffries and Thune all be reelected leaders? is Jan 15, 2027. The prediction market will resolve according to its contract terms using ABC, Axios, Bloomberg News, CBS, CNN, Fox News, MSNBC, NBC, Politico, Reuters, Semafor, The Information, The Wall Street Journal, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, the New York Times as the designated source. See the full contract terms on Public for the specific resolution criteria.

Yes. Public's AI Agents let you automate prediction market strategies using rules you define in plain English. Create an Agent to monitor the odds for Will Schumer, Jeffries and Thune all be reelected leaders? and take supported actions when your conditions are met. Since prediction markets trade 24/7, your Agent can monitor opportunities around the clock. You can also connect Public to your preferred AI model through MCP, including ChatGPT, Claude, Perplexity, Grok, and Muse.

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Live odds on Will Schumer, Jeffries and Thune all be reelected leaders?

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Will Schumer, Jeffries and Thune all be reelected leaders?

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Event estimated to resolve on at 10:00AM. These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.


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