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Economic events

Explore live odds across economics prediction markets on Public. Track probabilities for Fed interest rate decisions, inflation, unemployment, GDP growth, and recessions. Buy and sell event contracts based on your economic outlook, or use AI Agents to automate macro prediction market strategies.

Trade economics prediction markets

Buy and sell event contracts tied to inflation, interest rates, jobs, GDP, and recessions on Public. Plus, create AI Agents for macro strategies.

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Number of emergency rate cuts in 2026?
| $1,121,361.96 Vol.
0 cuts
1 cut
4 cuts
South Dakota corn yield in 2026
| $1,080,483.26 Vol.
Above 145 bu/acre
Above 150 bu/acre
Above 155 bu/acre
When will the next US recession start?
| $1,044,307.16 Vol.
Q1 2026
Q4 2025
Q2 2025
Number of rate hikes in 2026?
$1,001,936.18 Vol.
Exactly 2
Exactly 3
Exactly 1
How rich will Elon Musk get before 2027?
| $1,000,799.54 Vol.
More than $1.4 trillion
More than $1.6 trillion
More than $1.8 trillion
Fed decision in Jan 2027?
| $947,124.28 Vol.
Hike 25bps
Fed maintains rate
Hike >25bps
Washington professional, scientific, and technical services employment at end of 2026
| $933,708.54 Vol.
Above 255,000 jobs
Above 260,000 jobs
Above 265,000 jobs
UGA
How high will gas prices in California get this year?
$830,320.90 Vol.
Above $7.20
Above $6.80
Above $7.60
US real GDP growth in 2026?
| $922,036.78 Vol.
2.1% to 2.5%
2.6% to 3.0%
1.6% to 2.0%
CPI YoY in December
| $885,720.60 Vol.
Above 3.4%
Above 3.5%
Above 3.6%
Core CPI YoY in November
| $869,998.92 Vol.
Above 2.8%
Above 2.9%
Above 3.0%
Texas crude oil production in 2026
| $849,842.42 Vol.
Above 5.7 million barrels/day
Above 5.8 million barrels/day
Above 5.9 million barrels/day
NYC median asking rent in December 2026
| $839,988.00 Vol.
Above $3,900
Above $4,000
Above $4,100
Next Fed rate hike?
$754,299.06 Vol.
Before 2029
Before July 2027
Before 2027
Visitors to Florida in 2026
| $654,715.82 Vol.
Above 140 million
Above 142 million
Above 144 million
Illinois nuclear electricity generation in 2026
| $652,844.00 Vol.
Above 92.5 TWh
Above 95.0 TWh
Above 97.5 TWh
CPI in November
| $625,212.54 Vol.
Above -0.2%
Above -0.1%
Above 0.0%
Port of New York and New Jersey container volume in 2026
| $593,689.14 Vol.
Above 8.8 million TEUs
Above 8.9 million TEUs
Above 9.0 million TEUs

Showing 18 of 508 events.

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Trading event contracts involves significant risk and is not appropriate for all investors. Before investing, please read our Event Contracts Risk Disclosure and carefully consider your financial situation, investment objectives, and risk tolerance. Live data is for informational purposes only and may be delayed or incorrect. Timestamps are in UTC.


Event contracts offered by Open to the Public Investing, Inc. and Apex Clearing Corp. through KalshiEX LLC.

Check the background of this firm on FINRA’s BrokerCheck.

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Options.
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Cryptocurrency.
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Treasury Accounts.
Investing services in treasury accounts offering 6 month US Treasury Bills on the Public platform are through Jiko Securities, Inc. (“JSI”), a registered broker-dealer and member of FINRA & SIPC. See JSI’s FINRA BrokerCheck and Form CRS for further information. JSI uses funds from your Treasury Account to purchase T-bills in increments of $100 “par value” (the T-bill’s value at maturity). T-bills are purchased at a discount to the par value and the T-bill’s yield represents the difference in price between the “par value” and the “discount price.” Aggregate funds in your Treasury Account in excess of the T-bill purchases will remain in your Treasury Account as cash. The value of T-bills fluctuate and investors may receive more or less than their original investments if sold prior to maturity. T-bills are subject to price change and availability - yield is subject to change. Past performance is not indicative of future performance. Investments in T-bills involve a variety of risks, including credit risk, interest rate risk, and liquidity risk. As a general rule, the price of a T-bills moves inversely to changes in interest rates. Although T-bills are considered safer than many other financial instruments, you could lose all or a part of your investment. See Jiko U.S. Treasuries Risk Disclosures for further details.

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