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Economic events

Explore live odds across economics prediction markets on Public. Track probabilities for Fed interest rate decisions, inflation, unemployment, GDP growth, and recessions. Buy and sell event contracts based on your economic outlook, or use AI Agents to automate macro prediction market strategies.

Trade economics prediction markets

Buy and sell event contracts tied to inflation, interest rates, jobs, GDP, and recessions on Public. Plus, create AI Agents for macro strategies.

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Fed funds rate after Apr 2027 meeting?
| $361,570.66 Vol.
Above 5.50%
Above 5.00%
Above 4.50%
New Hampshire maple syrup production in 2027
| $352,118.92 Vol.
Above 140,000 gallons
Above 150,000 gallons
Above 160,000 gallons
Diesel prices in Nov 2026
| $356,784.28 Vol.
Above $5.70
Above $5.80
Above $5.90
West Virginia total coal production in 2026
| $342,541.26 Vol.
Above 80 million short tons
Above 82 million short tons
Above 84 million short tons
Colorado permitted housing units in 2026
| $341,175.38 Vol.
Above 30,000
Above 32,000
Above 34,000
How high will US gas prices get in Nov 2026?
| $339,872.24 Vol.
Above $4.30
Above $4.40
Above $4.50
Rhode Island average residential electricity price in 2026
| $336,280.64 Vol.
Above 29.5¢/kWh
Above 30.0¢/kWh
Above 30.5¢/kWh
Paper price index in November 2026
| $332,962.06 Vol.
Above 275
Above 280
Above 290
Fed decision in Dec 2027?
| $332,680.94 Vol.
Fed maintains rate
Hike 25bps
Cut >25bps
UGA
How low will gas prices in Texas get this year?
| $329,800.22 Vol.
Below $2.20
Below $2.30
Below $2.00
Connecticut multifamily housing permits in 2026
| $331,695.44 Vol.
Above 2,500 units
Above 3,500 units
Above 4,000 units
How many PJM capacity emergency days will there be in 2026?
$326,542.62 Vol.
Above 15 days
Above 20 days
Above 25 days
Wisconsin corn yield in 2026
| $325,773.94 Vol.
Above 180 bu/acre
Above 184 bu/acre
Above 188 bu/acre
US real GDP growth in 2036?
| $316,917.00 Vol.
1.6% to 2.0%
2.1% to 2.5%
0.0% or Below
US real GDP growth in 2035?
| $314,617.74 Vol.
2.1% to 2.5%
0.0% or Below
3.6% to 4.0%
US real GDP growth in 2033?
| $313,927.84 Vol.
1.6% to 2.0%
2.1% to 2.5%
1.1% to 1.5%
Iowa ethanol production in 2026
| $309,515.42 Vol.
Above 4.4 billion gallons
Above 4.5 billion gallons
Above 4.6 billion gallons
Will inflation in Brazil be below 4.00% in Dec 2026?
| $302,299.70 Vol.
In Dec 2026

Showing 18 of 508 events.

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Trading event contracts involves significant risk and is not appropriate for all investors. Before investing, please read our Event Contracts Risk Disclosure and carefully consider your financial situation, investment objectives, and risk tolerance. Live data is for informational purposes only and may be delayed or incorrect. Timestamps are in UTC.


Event contracts offered by Open to the Public Investing, Inc. and Apex Clearing Corp. through KalshiEX LLC.

Check the background of this firm on FINRA’s BrokerCheck.

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Stocks, ETFs, Options, Bonds.
Self-directed brokerage accounts and brokerage services for US-listed, registered securities, options, and Bonds, except for treasury securities offered through Jiko Securities, Inc., are offered to self-directed customers by Open to the Public Investing, Inc. (“Public Investing”), a registered broker-dealer and member of FINRA & SIPC. Additional information about your broker can be found by clicking here. Public Investing is a wholly-owned subsidiary of Public Holdings, Inc. (“Public Holdings”). This is not an offer, solicitation of an offer, or advice to buy or sell securities or open a brokerage account in any jurisdiction where Public Investing is not registered. Securities products offered by Public Investing are not FDIC insured. Apex Clearing Corporation, our clearing firm, has additional insurance coverage in excess of the regular SIPC limits. Additional information can be found here.

Options.
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“Bonds” shall refer to corporate debt securities and U.S. government securities offered on the Public platform through a self-directed brokerage account held at Public Investing and custodied at Apex Clearing. For purposes of this section, Bonds exclude treasury securities held in treasury accounts with Jiko Securities, Inc. as explained under the “ Treasury Accounts” section.

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Cryptocurrency.
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Treasury Accounts.
Investing services in treasury accounts offering 6 month US Treasury Bills on the Public platform are through Jiko Securities, Inc. (“JSI”), a registered broker-dealer and member of FINRA & SIPC. See JSI’s FINRA BrokerCheck and Form CRS for further information. JSI uses funds from your Treasury Account to purchase T-bills in increments of $100 “par value” (the T-bill’s value at maturity). T-bills are purchased at a discount to the par value and the T-bill’s yield represents the difference in price between the “par value” and the “discount price.” Aggregate funds in your Treasury Account in excess of the T-bill purchases will remain in your Treasury Account as cash. The value of T-bills fluctuate and investors may receive more or less than their original investments if sold prior to maturity. T-bills are subject to price change and availability - yield is subject to change. Past performance is not indicative of future performance. Investments in T-bills involve a variety of risks, including credit risk, interest rate risk, and liquidity risk. As a general rule, the price of a T-bills moves inversely to changes in interest rates. Although T-bills are considered safer than many other financial instruments, you could lose all or a part of your investment. See Jiko U.S. Treasuries Risk Disclosures for further details.

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