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Economic events

Explore live odds across economics prediction markets on Public. Track probabilities for Fed interest rate decisions, inflation, unemployment, GDP growth, and recessions. Buy and sell event contracts based on your economic outlook, or use AI Agents to automate macro prediction market strategies.

Trade economics prediction markets

Buy and sell event contracts tied to inflation, interest rates, jobs, GDP, and recessions on Public. Plus, create AI Agents for macro strategies.

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Timber harvested from Oregon BOF lands in FY2027
| $156,709.82 Vol.
Above 160 million board feet
Above 180 million board feet
Above 200 million board feet
Port of Virginia total container volume in 2026
| $156,514.86 Vol.
Above 3.15 million TEUs
Above 3.25 million TEUs
Above 3.45 million TEUs
UNG
Highest natural gas spot price in​ 2026
| $156,507.96 Vol.
$4.51 or above
$4.01 or above
$5.01 or above
South Africa rate decision in November
| $154,351.40 Vol.
Maintain current rate
Hike 1-25bps
Hike more than 25bps
December 2026 Fed Combo · Rate and Dissents
| $151,925.46 Vol.
Rate: 25bp hike, Dissents: 0
Rate: 25bp hike, Dissents: >0
Rate: No change, Dissents: 0
Vermont total milk production in 2026
| $149,491.18 Vol.
Above 2.45 billion pounds
Above 2.50 billion pounds
Above 2.55 billion pounds
Diesel price at year-end 2026
| $149,664.64 Vol.
Above $5.60
Above $5.80
Above $6.00
Will rates hit zero in 2026?
| $147,959.74 Vol.
In 2026
US headline CPI inflation in December 2027
| $150,529.48 Vol.
Above 3.0%
Above 3.5%
Above 4.0%
How high will the price of fertilizer get this year?
| $146,266.80 Vol.
Above $1100
Above $1000
Above $1200
Will Connecticut insurance-industry employment increase YoY in 2026?
| $144,907.68 Vol.
Above 54,600 employees
Marcellus formation natural gas production in 2026
| $144,880.28 Vol.
Above 9.50 Tcf
Above 9.75 Tcf
Above 10.00 Tcf
Will Missouri manufacturing employment rise YoY?
| $141,062.92 Vol.
Above 280,500 jobs
Diesel prices this week
| $138,622.90 Vol.
Above $5.96
Above $5.98
Above $6.00
Kentucky coal production in 2027
| $138,076.98 Vol.
Above 22 million short tons
Above 24 million short tons
Above 26 million short tons
Mississippi cotton production in 2027
| $133,562.88 Vol.
Above 800,000 bales
Above 900,000 bales
Above 1,000,000 bales
SOFR at end of Q4 2026
| $132,710.70 Vol.
Above 4.00%
Above 4.25%
Above 4.50%
US share of global GDP in 2026
| $131,768.20 Vol.
Above 25.8%
Above 25.7%
Above 26.1%

Showing 18 of 508 events.

Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.


Trading event contracts involves significant risk and is not appropriate for all investors. Before investing, please read our Event Contracts Risk Disclosure and carefully consider your financial situation, investment objectives, and risk tolerance. Live data is for informational purposes only and may be delayed or incorrect. Timestamps are in UTC.


Event contracts offered by Open to the Public Investing, Inc. and Apex Clearing Corp. through KalshiEX LLC.

Check the background of this firm on FINRA’s BrokerCheck.

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Stocks, ETFs, Options, Bonds.
Self-directed brokerage accounts and brokerage services for US-listed, registered securities, options, and Bonds, except for treasury securities offered through Jiko Securities, Inc., are offered to self-directed customers by Open to the Public Investing, Inc. (“Public Investing”), a registered broker-dealer and member of FINRA & SIPC. Additional information about your broker can be found by clicking here. Public Investing is a wholly-owned subsidiary of Public Holdings, Inc. (“Public Holdings”). This is not an offer, solicitation of an offer, or advice to buy or sell securities or open a brokerage account in any jurisdiction where Public Investing is not registered. Securities products offered by Public Investing are not FDIC insured. Apex Clearing Corporation, our clearing firm, has additional insurance coverage in excess of the regular SIPC limits. Additional information can be found here.

Options.
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“Bonds” shall refer to corporate debt securities and U.S. government securities offered on the Public platform through a self-directed brokerage account held at Public Investing and custodied at Apex Clearing. For purposes of this section, Bonds exclude treasury securities held in treasury accounts with Jiko Securities, Inc. as explained under the “ Treasury Accounts” section.

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Cryptocurrency.
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Treasury Accounts.
Investing services in treasury accounts offering 6 month US Treasury Bills on the Public platform are through Jiko Securities, Inc. (“JSI”), a registered broker-dealer and member of FINRA & SIPC. See JSI’s FINRA BrokerCheck and Form CRS for further information. JSI uses funds from your Treasury Account to purchase T-bills in increments of $100 “par value” (the T-bill’s value at maturity). T-bills are purchased at a discount to the par value and the T-bill’s yield represents the difference in price between the “par value” and the “discount price.” Aggregate funds in your Treasury Account in excess of the T-bill purchases will remain in your Treasury Account as cash. The value of T-bills fluctuate and investors may receive more or less than their original investments if sold prior to maturity. T-bills are subject to price change and availability - yield is subject to change. Past performance is not indicative of future performance. Investments in T-bills involve a variety of risks, including credit risk, interest rate risk, and liquidity risk. As a general rule, the price of a T-bills moves inversely to changes in interest rates. Although T-bills are considered safer than many other financial instruments, you could lose all or a part of your investment. See Jiko U.S. Treasuries Risk Disclosures for further details.

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Alpha.
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